Name me one freshman that has beaten out a 2 year incumbent starter who was winning? I can only think of 1.
Name me one freshman that has beaten out a 2 year incumbent starter who was winning? I can only think of 1.
Ok, so Warner's first NFL season was 1998. Average career of an NFL QB is around 4.5 years. So every 5 years, you have 32 teams with 3 QB's on the roster. That's 384 QBs over 20 years. It's happened twice. That's less than 1%. So yes, that's not good enough.
If nothing else, both arguments are inconclusive and you can't say it is likely to happen one way or the other. And I believe you are the only one saying to bank on it. We are just saying to let it play out. No one is saying he absolutely won't be in the NFL in a couple years.
Would you guys stop the NFL QB nonsense? If anything is a fictitious argument regarding who we should start at QB, it's this oddball backup QB to NFL logic.
I still, very strongly, maintain that the QB next year will be a direct result of the philosophy... not the QB that "wins the combines". The staff knows what they've got in QB skills. And precisely due to the lack of Saturday experience, there is no clear #1. It will be all about which philosophy (hence, set of skills) they lean toward. I absolutely guarantee you that if they went to a pass heavy strategy, the job belongs to Brooks. If they're addicted to the stereotypical dual threat option, Brooks will probably lose the starting role. I'm not marginally confident in this prediction. I'm actually 99.7% confident that's exactly the way the QB contest will be resolved. To say that "the best QB" will be discovered through a process that is irrelevant to the philosophy the coaches lean toward... is nonsense. I wouldn't be surprised if the coaches get quagmired and do the ole two QB system in our first few games, to use real games to choose the ultimate QB. And again, it will be highly highly predicated on an offensive philosophy.
And keep this in mind, coaches are becoming addicted to dual threat QBs. Addicted. It isn't because it's the best solution in many cases. It's just the easiest. You don't have to have as great of an OL if you have a solid dual threat QB.
You are correct. Brooks standing on the sidelines was 92% due to a successful starter and 8% due to offensive philosophy. Only an injury was taking the clipboard out of his hand. And I could not mount a strong argument against that. You tried. But in reality, TB never legitimately lost the start. And you agreed.
Next year's QB will be decided by the direction the staff takes the offense... unless someone gets injured or smokes a blunt between now and then.
Maybe if his passing skills Dwarfs the run pass guy they will adjust their philosophy.
I'm not saying (and neither are you) that we're choosing between a Jake or a Brian... but that is a good argument around what I'm saying. Jake would beat out Brian in a pass oriented offense... and Brian would beat Jake in a dual threat QB offense. I strongly believe "philosophy" will decide our next QB. In today's contests, if Brian and Jake were competing, Jake would never see the field, unless Brian got injured.
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