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Thread: My best guess at the NCAA Baseball Tournament Regional Sites ...

  1. #21

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    Quote Originally Posted by Patches View Post
    Explain the comment about "my kid". I'm just not absolutely sure that 4 teams make it from our conference. The "fact that I hate Robe" doesn't really factor in my thinking as to whether UL makes a regional. If we make it, great. I'm just not as positive as everybody else that we are already in.
    Earlier you said you have "source in the know" that said we might not be in. Now you're taking credit for this belief. This leads me to believe you have no idea what you're talking about and you're just making this up.

    Side note if UL doesn't get in, there will be riots in the streets

  2. Default Re: My best guess at the NCAA Baseball Tournament Regional Sites ...

    Quote Originally Posted by Boomer View Post
    ---OK next question---Do we want to go to St-Ville???? If there is no place for Rice your observation for their going to BR seems very logical---Oh and thanks for making this so interesting!!!
    I would prefer to go to Starkville over Baton Rouge ... simply from the standpoint that the Cajuns have a better chance of advancing. But both regionals will be difficult.

    Rice finished with an RPI rank of #32. With Rice winning both CUSA titles, I believe they are a #2 seed ... despite the 0-4 record vs. the RPI Top 50. It will be interesting to see if the NCAA sends Rice to Baton Rouge as the #2 seed.

    Brian

  3. Default Re: My best guess at the NCAA Baseball Tournament Regional Sites ...

    Quote Originally Posted by andrepourciau View Post
    Brian - Any way we get disrespected and go to baton rouge as the #3 seed behind Rice?
    I would be quite surprised if this happens. My calcs show the Cajuns finished with an RPI rank of #21 (.5687). But given that I have the Cajuns a mere .0001 ahead of Georgia Tech and .0004 ahead of Arizona State, I want to see the official RPI from the NCAA. Even at #23, I do not see the Cajuns as a #3 seed. Especially given the respectable 7-6 record vs. the RPI Top 50. For example, Rice is 0-4 ... which I think is the only thing that potentially keeps them from a #2 seed.

    I would rate Louisiana as about the 6th to 8th strongest #2 seed.

    From another angle ... I do not see the NCAA punishing LSU with both Louisiana and Rice.

    Brian

  4. #24

    Default Re: My best guess at the NCAA Baseball Tournament Regional Sites ...

    I would love for the Cajuns to go to BR and beat them at their place, but I don't think I cod take a 2002 redux. I'm already starting to hear it from d-bag co-workers and friends that love the purple mess.


  5. UL Baseball Re: My best guess at the NCAA Baseball Tournament Regional Sites ...

    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    I would be quite surprised if this happens. My calcs show the Cajuns finished with an RPI rank of #21 (.5687). But given that I have the Cajuns a mere .0001 ahead of Georgia Tech and .0004 ahead of Arizona State, I want to see the official RPI from the NCAA. Even at #23, I do not see the Cajuns as a #3 seed. Especially given the respectable 7-6 record vs. the RPI Top 50. For example, Rice is 0-4 ... which I think is the only thing that potentially keeps them from a #2 seed.

    I would rate Louisiana as about the 6th to 8th strongest #2 seed.

    From another angle ... I do not see the NCAA punishing LSU with both Louisiana and Rice.

    Brian
    I have the Cajuns finishing with an RPI of .5687 ... good for a #21 rank. Thus we have ...

    #21 .5687 Louisiana
    #22 .5686 Georgia Tech
    #23 .5683 Arizona State

    Note the mere .0001 gap between Louisiana and Georgia Tech ... and the .0004 gap between Louisiana and Arizona State.

    Boyd has his pRPI out this morning and has (to three digits' precision) ...

    #21 .569 Arizona State
    #22 .569 Louisiana
    #23 .569 Georgia Tech

    However, the big difference here is that Boyd throws out ties. Ties usually have a minimal impact on OWP and OOWP calculations, but can move the overall RPI about .0001. In this case, Arizona State themselves had a neutral game tie that was thrown out (vs. Gonzaga). That is, they finished 35-20-1 (Adjusted 34.9-21.1), not 35-20 (Adjusted 34.4-20.6). Thus, Arizona State actually had an aWP of .6232, instead of .6255. That alone is good for an RPI downgrade of .0006 (.0023/4 rounded). Which explains why Boyd has Arizona State jumping both Georgia Tech and Louisiana to #21.

    Brian

  6. #26

    Default Re: My best guess at the NCAA Baseball Tournament Regional Sites ...

    Baseball America has us going to BR as #2 seed,
    LSU, UL, Sam Houston and Jackson St


  7. Default Re: My best guess at the NCAA Baseball Tournament Regional Sites ...

    Quote Originally Posted by andrepourciau View Post
    Brian - Any way we get disrespected and go to baton rouge as the #3 seed behind Rice?

    #2 seed plays #3 seed first game so it really doesn't matter.

  8. #28

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    What time is the selection show?


  9. #29

    Default Re: My best guess at the NCAA Baseball Tournament Regional Sites ...

    11


  10. Default Re: My best guess at the NCAA Baseball Tournament Regional Sites ...

    Quote Originally Posted by J-Town Cajun View Post
    What time is the selection show?
    11am

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