Future Conference Breakdown (What we know now)

[CajunNation]

If TXST thinks they are on an island now, just wait till they join the MW! Lol

I believe the current thinking is that either the MWC will lose school(s) and will respond with a play for Texas schools, or the AAC will lose school(s) and will respond with a group addition that includes Texas State.

Either way, they get to be in a Texas based division.

[RaginDave]

Here is what is expected to happen:

Utah, Arizona and Arizona move to the Big 12, that would move the Big 12 to 16 teams, with BYU, Cincy, Houston, UCF, Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, TCU, Texas Tech, West Virginia, Colorado, Utah, Arizona and Arizona State.

Oregon and Washington to the Big 10, giving them 18 teams with Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Maryland, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, Rutgers, Wisconsin, USC, UCLA, Oregon and Washington.

That would leave Oregon State, Washington State, Cal and Stanford trying to figure out what to do, along with Independents ND, UCONN, UMASS and Army. Now immediately if the PAC were to fold or need immediate help they could form an alliance with the remaining independents (UCONN, UMASS and Army), ND is not going to join that conference and then add a few teams from the MWC, like SDSU, UNLV and others to stay afloat. That could crush the MWC, which would then try to reach out to the AAC members like UNT, Rice, UTSA, SMU, Tulsa and possibly Texas State to form a weird alliance of West and Mountain West teams.

This ____ is going to get crazy.

[RaginDave]

But hold your horses, now it appears that FSU is about to leave the ACC which could cause another flurry of changes.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/care...68a6c5af&ei=49

If this happens and others would consider leaving the ACC, you could see some sort of merger with the remaining PAC teams and remaining ACC teams, depending on what would be left. SEC could try to pull the NC schools or Miami, Clemson, VT or others.

Then the PAC/ACC alliance might be left with an East/West alliance. I don't know what is going to happen next. Sit back and wait.....

[cajunjayhawk]

According to Brett McMurphy, Big Ten is considering Oregon & Washington along with Stanford & Cal. Can you imagine a 20-team conference?

[RaginDave]

What may end up is the SEC and Big 10 being two 24 team Super Conferences and then leave everyone else up in the air. That would be 48 of the proposed future 134 FBS schools. If that happens then 35% of your teams would be in 2 conferences, the other 65% would be forced to create conferences with whatever is left. SEC could be the expected 16 teams (current 14 and OU and Texas) with FSU, UNC, Clemson, Miami, Duke or NC State or both, VT and Georgia Tech (or someone else).

Big 10 would be current 16 teams then Oregon and Washington to make 18. They could suck up the rest of the PAC and that would be 22, then add 2 more teams from the AAC to complete their 24 teams conference.

At that point the SBC would be smart to grab what they can from the AAC in UAB, ECU and others to become a minor version of the Super Conference.

[RaginDave]

According to Brett McMurphy, Big Ten is considering Oregon & Washington along with Stanford & Cal. Can you imagine a 20-team conference?

This is happening, the SEC and B1G are going to be 20+ team super conferences and attempt to break away from everyone else.

[HoustonCajun]

South Florida just made AAU. The PAC remnants will either keep it local or copy what the Big 12 did last year and go big with UTSA, SMU, Memphis, Tulane and USF.

JMO. The PAC 12 keeps Wash State, Oregon State, Cal, Stanford, Arizona State, Utah and adds SDSU, Colorado State, UNLV, Air Force, Boise State, and either Fresno State, San Jose State or Wyoming to remain a 12 or 14 team west coast conference conference and that is how you move up from G5 to P5. If the PAC 12 couldn't get the revenue to keep its members, adding MWC plus AAC schools while moving eastward like SMU and UTSA won't help with revenue and will only serve to dilute shares.

[cajunref]

This is happening, the SEC and B1G are going to be 20+ team super conferences and attempt to break away from everyone else.

Along with Florida State and Clemson to SEC.

[CajunNation]

According to Brett McMurphy, Big Ten is considering Oregon & Washington along with Stanford & Cal. Can you imagine a 20-team conference?

The best info right now is on espnu sat radio. Apparently, UW and Oregon balked at a deal a few months ago because it included lesser payments than the rest of the Big10. This was before CU left. They are negotiating now. I would be shocked if Cal and Stanford were part of the deal.

[CajunNation]

Along with Florida State and Clemson to SEC.

This might take a little longer. There will be Grant of Rights lawsuits to figure this one out, but I think eventually they both go.