Future Conference Breakdown (What we know now)

[VObserver]

2 years?

Still in the SBC, minus Texas State, plus UAB.

5 years?

Still in the SBC, plus ECU and FAU.

Texas State isn't going anywhere. The conference won't throw them out, and they have nowhere better to go. The SBC may add UTSA or UAB to the Western Division and Either ECU or FAU in the East, assuming they add anyone. I doubt UAB because that would be 3 Alabama schools. Most likely scenario is that the SBC stands pat.

[VObserver]

.......the Pac will try North and South.....North has Wash and Wash ST, Oreg and Oreg St, Stanford, Cal, and not sure---jSouth would be Ariz and Ariz St, UTSA, SmU, Tulane, and not sure......please fill in the rest for me!!!

Arizona and Arizona State will be in the Big 12, as will Utah. Rumor is that Washington and Oregon have put out feelers to the Big 10.

PAC is in a bind. They will have to lower their sights as far as membership academic requirements or they are pretty much sunk. Available FBS and R1 universities in their current footprint are Utah State, Colorado State, Nevada, New Mexico and UNLV.

[RaginDave]

How does this affect Louisiana? Where do we see ourselves in 5 years? Hell maybe even 2 years?

I think the jury is still out on this, both the 2 years and the 5 years. Alot can change and will change both this year and the upcoming years. Part will depend on what happens with all of the other conferences. Everyone will be jockeying for positions, both as conferences and athletic programs. The SBC made themselves much better recently with the addition of Marshall, USM, ODU and JMU, but I don't think this is the end. Our conference partners could have an opportunity to move, teams like Texas State for one, as has been said, could be looking to move to the MWC, the SBC could look (long term) to exit from the teams west of the Mississippi River (hopefully that does not occur) leaving UL, ULM, Arkansas State and Texas State looking for other options.

In 5 years we could be anywhere between a revamped CUSA and a new look Big 12. Believe me, I hope that does not occur (the CUSA thing), but all being said, where we are today is lightyears ahead of where we were when this thing (THE SBC) started .

[RaginDave]

Texas State isn't going anywhere. The conference won't throw them out, and they have nowhere better to go. The SBC may add UTSA or UAB to the Western Division and Either ECU or FAU in the East, assuming they add anyone. I doubt UAB because that would be 3 Alabama schools. Most likely scenario is that the SBC stands pat.

Don't hold your breath, Texas State could be a player in the reformed MWC if they need options. Not saying it will happen, but it is a possibility. I know the SBC won't throw them out, but they could choose another path.

[CajunNation]

Texas State isn't going anywhere. The conference won't throw them out, and they have nowhere better to go. The SBC may add UTSA or UAB to the Western Division and Either ECU or FAU in the East, assuming they add anyone. I doubt UAB because that would be 3 Alabama schools. Most likely scenario is that the SBC stands pat.

BOP has said to not be surprised if they are a candidate for admission to another conference in the future. They want to be with their neighbors.

If the SBC dosen't expand into Texas, they are gone.

[Big Buds]

Don't hold your breath, Texas State could be a player in the reformed MWC if they need options. Not saying it will happen, but it is a possibility. I know the SBC won't throw them out, but they could choose another path.

If TXST thinks they are on an island now, just wait till they join the MW! Lol

[CajunNation]

If TXST thinks they are on an island now, just wait till they join the MW! Lol

I believe the current thinking is that either the MWC will lose school(s) and will respond with a play for Texas schools, or the AAC will lose school(s) and will respond with a group addition that includes Texas State.

Either way, they get to be in a Texas based division.

[RaginDave]

Here is what is expected to happen:

Utah, Arizona and Arizona move to the Big 12, that would move the Big 12 to 16 teams, with BYU, Cincy, Houston, UCF, Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, TCU, Texas Tech, West Virginia, Colorado, Utah, Arizona and Arizona State.

Oregon and Washington to the Big 10, giving them 18 teams with Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Maryland, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, Rutgers, Wisconsin, USC, UCLA, Oregon and Washington.

That would leave Oregon State, Washington State, Cal and Stanford trying to figure out what to do, along with Independents ND, UCONN, UMASS and Army. Now immediately if the PAC were to fold or need immediate help they could form an alliance with the remaining independents (UCONN, UMASS and Army), ND is not going to join that conference and then add a few teams from the MWC, like SDSU, UNLV and others to stay afloat. That could crush the MWC, which would then try to reach out to the AAC members like UNT, Rice, UTSA, SMU, Tulsa and possibly Texas State to form a weird alliance of West and Mountain West teams.

This ____ is going to get crazy.

[RaginDave]

But hold your horses, now it appears that FSU is about to leave the ACC which could cause another flurry of changes.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/care...68a6c5af&ei=49

If this happens and others would consider leaving the ACC, you could see some sort of merger with the remaining PAC teams and remaining ACC teams, depending on what would be left. SEC could try to pull the NC schools or Miami, Clemson, VT or others.

Then the PAC/ACC alliance might be left with an East/West alliance. I don't know what is going to happen next. Sit back and wait.....

[cajunjayhawk]

According to Brett McMurphy, Big Ten is considering Oregon & Washington along with Stanford & Cal. Can you imagine a 20-team conference?

[RaginDave]

What may end up is the SEC and Big 10 being two 24 team Super Conferences and then leave everyone else up in the air. That would be 48 of the proposed future 134 FBS schools. If that happens then 35% of your teams would be in 2 conferences, the other 65% would be forced to create conferences with whatever is left. SEC could be the expected 16 teams (current 14 and OU and Texas) with FSU, UNC, Clemson, Miami, Duke or NC State or both, VT and Georgia Tech (or someone else).

Big 10 would be current 16 teams then Oregon and Washington to make 18. They could suck up the rest of the PAC and that would be 22, then add 2 more teams from the AAC to complete their 24 teams conference.

At that point the SBC would be smart to grab what they can from the AAC in UAB, ECU and others to become a minor version of the Super Conference.

[RaginDave]

According to Brett McMurphy, Big Ten is considering Oregon & Washington along with Stanford & Cal. Can you imagine a 20-team conference?

This is happening, the SEC and B1G are going to be 20+ team super conferences and attempt to break away from everyone else.