I'm going to respectfully disagree with you that the outcome has no impact on UL. It MAY have no impact, but I feel it (an ASU win) would add to the pressure against UL getting a bid. I would be glad for a co-championship, but fear it could cost us a bowl bid. I'm afraid ASU winning would guarantee the Red Wolves and Troy a bowl bid but keep us on the outside looking in. Sorry. If I knew we'd be in regardless of tonight's outcome, I'd cheer for ASU so we could also be co-champs.
I do agree with you that Troy would NOT give up the NO Bowl if stAte wins. ASU would win its way into the bowl. I also agree it is crucial for our bowl bid to have ASU (the other one) lose.