While I won't try to actually pinpoint who we lose to outside of OSU and Florida, I will give you a host of games I think are interesting. The Troy game is tough because they have opened up so well at home winning over 20 straight home openers. That means a little to me but not much more considering teams cannot really be compared to other teams from years back. However, we are a traditionally slow starting team, especially on offense. On years when we really have good offenses, we've still struggled to get things going, even against lower competition. I watched the game against Nicholls St. from last year last night on CST and our offense looked HORRIBLE. They obviously were only a hybrid of what we saw the last few weeks but we just don't typically start real well which makes me concerned heading to Troy so early.
The ULM game scares me. They play us tough every year and even though we've won 3 in a row, they've all been nail biters that we've had to have a big special teams play just to seal the game and of course everybody remembers last year's miracle. The are tough and usually more physical than us and that scares me. This year we play them on the road which also scares me.
FIU= Even though this game is played at home, the are a physical team and again, we always have trouble with physical teams. They will run the ball well and have a dual threat QB who we have to be disciplined against.
WKU= See above. Very physical and have our number.
With two losses OOC to Fla and OSU, I think we lose at least one conference game. This conference is much more balanced than it was 5 years ago and there are probably 4-5 teams that can truly win the conference this year IMO. I don't think we are consistent enough yet to run the table in conference and I do think there will be a slip up or two. I'm thinking 8-4 but 9-3 is very possible if we can develop the depth we think we have.