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Thread: Hurricane Seasons, Erosion, Rising Seas, Sinking Land Mass

  1. #401

    Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Quote Originally Posted by Cajunrunner View Post
    Our power grid can BARELY handle the current energy needs for our population, housing, transportation and industry needs. Just imagine what would happen if even 50% of households and apartment complexes had their occupants charging vehicles around the clock. All while many of the same segment pushing for banning ICE vehicles are also in favor of banning fossil fuel exploration and production.

    I have no problem with us trying to be cleaner. Industry is making great strides, including the oil & gas and petrochem industries, in this arena. Some may say "Well what took them so long?", but those same folks may also need to consider that you can't overnight scale up new cleaner technologies in these industries without increased costs being passed on to the consumer.

    We should strive to be greener, but we have to do it in a responsible way that doesn't stifle energy production growth at a time when our energy needs continue to grow. That is just as reckless and irresponsible as if we'd revert back to the old Evangeline oilfield boom days of just letting all the produced saltwater from oil wells run all over the surface and discharged into bayous.
    Excellent post. I would imagine that the vast majority of people feel exactly this way whichever way they lean. The poles probably make the most noise though and that's who gets the attention. The answer has to be a middle ground.
    There is an engineering YouTube channel that addresses the grid issue. I will try to find and post.
    I am certainly no expert on tax code but if private industry gets tax payer funds, whether before or after the fact, it's a subsidy. Like the people who feel the need to say the US isn't a democracy, it's a republic. That is like saying it's not a dog, it's a Labrador.

  2. #402

    Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Then, there's this....

    https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelli...er-demand.html

    At present, data centers worldwide consume 1-2% of overall power, but this percentage will likely rise to 3-4% by the end of the decade. In the US and Europe, this increased demand will help drive the kind of electricity growth that hasn’t been seen in a generation. Along the way, the carbon dioxide emissions of data centers may more than double between 2022 and 2030
    Sachs Research estimates the overall increase in data center power consumption from AI to be on the order of 200 terawatt-hours per year between 2023 and 2030. By 2028, our analysts expect AI to represent about 19% of data center power demand.

    Another reason why AI sucks.

  3. #403

    Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Quote Originally Posted by CajunNation View Post
    Then, there's this....

    https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelli...er-demand.html






    Another reason why AI sucks.
    That is incredible. Those numbers are mind-boggling.

  4. #404

    Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Quote Originally Posted by CajunNation View Post
    Then, there's this....

    https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelli...er-demand.html

    Another reason why AI sucks.
    We should look at the whole story:

    While the increase in power demand from AI technologies, particularly generative AI, is substantial, there is also significant potential for sustainability benefits. Here are several ways in which the integration of AI could lead to more efficient power usage in other sectors, potentially balancing out some of the increased demand from data centers:

    Energy Efficiency in Data Centers
    Optimization of Data Center Operations:
    AI for Cooling Systems: AI can optimize the cooling systems of data centers, which are one of the largest consumers of energy within these facilities. By predicting cooling needs and adjusting systems in real-time, AI can reduce unnecessary energy consumption.
    Dynamic Power Management: AI can help in dynamically adjusting power usage based on the workload, ensuring that servers and other infrastructure are only using as much power as necessary at any given time​ (Datacenter Dynamics)​​ (Morgan Stanley)​.
    Smart Grids and Energy Distribution
    Smart Grid Management:
    Load Balancing: AI can be used to predict and manage power loads more efficiently across the grid, reducing the need for peak power plants, which are typically less efficient and more polluting.
    Integration of Renewables: AI can help integrate renewable energy sources into the grid more effectively by predicting supply and demand patterns and managing storage systems to ensure a steady supply of power​ (Morgan Stanley)​.
    Industrial and Commercial Applications
    Process Optimization in Manufacturing:

    Predictive Maintenance: AI can predict equipment failures before they happen, allowing for timely maintenance that prevents energy waste.
    Process Improvements: AI can optimize manufacturing processes to reduce energy consumption, such as optimizing the operation of machinery and the scheduling of energy-intensive tasks during off-peak hours​ (Datacenter Dynamics)​.
    Building Energy Management:

    Smart HVAC Systems: AI can manage heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems in buildings more efficiently, adjusting settings based on occupancy patterns and weather forecasts.
    Lighting Controls: AI can optimize lighting based on usage patterns, ensuring lights are only on when needed​ (Datacenter Dynamics)​​ (Morgan Stanley)​.
    Transportation and Logistics
    Electric Vehicles and Charging Infrastructure:
    Optimal Charging: AI can manage the charging of electric vehicles (EVs) to avoid stressing the grid during peak times, spreading the load more evenly and using renewable energy sources when available.
    Route Optimization: AI can optimize logistics and transportation routes to reduce fuel consumption and improve overall efficiency​ (Datacenter Dynamics)​​ (Morgan Stanley)​.
    Environmental Monitoring and Climate Management
    Environmental Impact Reduction:
    Emissions Monitoring: AI can monitor and manage emissions from various sources, helping to reduce the overall environmental footprint.
    Climate Control Systems: AI can help manage urban climates by optimizing the operation of city-wide systems such as heating, cooling, and lighting based on real-time data​ (Datacenter Dynamics)​​ (Morgan Stanley)​.
    Conclusion
    While the increased power demand from AI technologies is undeniable, the potential for AI to enhance energy efficiency across various sectors is significant. By optimizing processes, integrating renewable energy sources more effectively, and improving the management of energy consumption, AI could help balance the additional demand it creates. This holistic view highlights the dual role of AI as both a consumer of energy and a facilitator of energy efficiency improvements across the board.

    https://www.morganstanley.com/ideas/...infrastructure

  5. #405

    Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Quote Originally Posted by fpc4life99 View Post
    So you’re okay with subsidies to small startups but prefer them not to be given to big existing companies?

    By the way, all of the companies listed are investing in renewable energy and receiving subsidies.

    ExxonMobil
    ExxonMobil has several significant investments in renewable energy:

    Renewable Diesel: ExxonMobil has committed to purchasing up to 5 million barrels per year of renewable diesel from Global Clean Energy’s biorefinery in Bakersfield, California. This project uses the camelina crop, a non-food source, to produce the fuel, significantly reducing greenhouse gas emissions compared to conventional diesel​ (ExxonMobil)​.
    Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS): ExxonMobil is heavily involved in CCS technology, developing several CCS hubs in Houston and Wyoming, as well as international projects in Scotland, France, Belgium, and the Netherlands​ (ExxonMobil)​​ (ExxonMobil)​.
    Hydrogen: ExxonMobil is working on producing low-carbon hydrogen using CCS technology to reduce emissions​ (ExxonMobil)​​ (ExxonMobil)​.
    Chevron
    Chevron is also investing in renewable energy:

    Biofuels: Chevron has invested in several biofuel initiatives, including partnerships with companies like Brightmark to produce renewable natural gas and renewable diesel.
    Geothermal Energy: Chevron has a long-standing involvement in geothermal energy, continuing to develop and invest in geothermal projects worldwide.
    Hydrogen: Chevron is developing hydrogen projects, exploring hydrogen production and fuel cell technology.
    EOG Resources
    EOG Resources has been more focused on improving the efficiency of its operations rather than direct investments in renewable energy. However, they have initiatives aimed at reducing emissions:

    Emissions Reduction: EOG has focused on reducing methane emissions and improving overall environmental performance through various technological innovations.
    Occidental Petroleum (OXY)
    Occidental Petroleum has made notable investments in carbon management and renewables:

    Carbon Capture: OXY is a leader in direct air capture technology, aiming to remove CO2 directly from the atmosphere and use it for enhanced oil recovery or permanent storage.
    Solar Energy: OXY has invested in solar energy projects to power some of its operations, reducing reliance on traditional fossil fuels.
    Marathon Petroleum
    Marathon Petroleum has also stepped into the renewable fuels sector:

    Renewable Diesel: Marathon has converted its Martinez refinery to produce renewable diesel, leveraging feedstocks such as animal fats, soybean oil, and corn oil.
    Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): Marathon is exploring the production of SAF from renewable feedstocks.
    Each of these companies is taking steps toward integrating renewable energy into their portfolios, with varying degrees of investment and commitment to different technologies.
    1- I never said anything at all about ok with subsidies for one and not for the other. Again, though, the oil & gas companies paying a net negative in taxes are the ones not in business long and don't represent the ones driving the industry. The ones driving the industry, they are paying net positive overall in taxes.

    2- You're not telling me anything I don't already know about those companies mentioned above and their "renewable" or "low carbon" arms and business ventures they've established. I am extremely well informed on that end, especially the CCS and emissions reductions technologies. I've discussed those here in the past, and if you're asking my personal opinion, no, I don't believe the government should be shelling out billions in tax dollars for CCS projects, ESPECIALLY the direct air capture stuff that appears to be wastefully inefficient. At least the point-source stuff is direct and efficient from the emitters to the injection site via pipeline, not wasting ungodly vast amounts of water and electricity in the process. However, at the end of the day, government wanted to force industry into these types of projects, so industry successfully lobbied with "Hey, if you want it so bad, then YOU help out".

    Sign me up as skeptical.

  6. #406

    Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Quote Originally Posted by Cajunrunner View Post
    "Hey, if you want it so bad, then YOU help out".
    Fortunately, I am helping out, but probably not in the way you're thinking. My research focuses on a more natural approach to the issues mentioned above.

  7. #407

    Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Quote Originally Posted by fpc4life99 View Post
    Fortunately, I am helping out, but probably not in the way you're thinking. My research focuses on a more natural approach to the issues mentioned above.
    I'm more talking about the discussions industry had with the Feds when these mandates were coming down. No so much someone like you helping out.

    I'm sure the conversations with the federal government went something like this:

    Feds: "You're going to have to start reducing emissions."
    Industry: "We've already been working on that reading the tea leaves over the years. In fact, we're actually accomplishing some of that already at facilities like production tank batteries and gas compressor sites, and will continue to make progress."
    Feds: "You know that's not going to be enough. There's this sequester technology we've heard about. You need to start doing that with CO2 and help to fight YOUR pollution."
    Industry: "Oh yeah, we actually already carry out such operations to increase production in older fields and areas where we've gotten initial production."
    Feds: "Well we want you to do purely sequestration and leave it in the ground forever, no oil & gas production."
    Industry: "Ok, well...that's very expensive. If we have to deploy hundreds of millions to billions of dollars with no ROI, then we're probably have to divert capital to oil & gas operations, which means lower production numbers in the U.S. That would certainly cause oil prices (and gasoline for your voters) to increase."
    Feds: "Ok, we'll give you some money to help with these projects."
    Industry: "We'll get started."

    My research focuses on a more natural approach to the issues mentioned above.
    Research of any and all realistically viable possibilities is a good thing.

  8. #408

    Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Quote Originally Posted by fpc4life99 View Post
    We should look at the whole story:
    Yes, let's look at the whole story. How will AI affect Art? Literature? Music? Manufacturing? How many jobs will it take from regular people?



  9. #409

    Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Quote Originally Posted by CajunNation View Post
    Yes, let's look at the whole story. How will AI affect Art? Literature? Music? Manufacturing? How many jobs will it take from regular people?


    While it's true that AI will significantly impact various fields such as art, literature, music, and manufacturing, and will change the nature of many jobs, look at the broader historical context of technological innovation and those effects on the workforce.

    Historical Innovations and Job Transformation
    The Industrial Revolution:

    The advent of machinery and factory systems in the late 18th and early 19th centuries.

    While many manual labor jobs were replaced by machines, this period also led to the creation of new jobs in machine operation, maintenance, and factory management. It spurred massive economic growth and improved standards of living.

    The Advent of Computers and Automation:

    The introduction of computers in the mid-20th century and subsequent automation of various tasks.

    Many clerical and repetitive manual jobs were replaced, but it also led to the creation of entirely new industries, such as information technology, software development, and digital communications. It revolutionized how businesses operate and created numerous high-skill jobs.

    The Internet and Digital Revolution:

    The rise of the internet in the late 20th century.

    Traditional jobs in retail, marketing, and media were transformed. E-commerce, digital marketing, and online content creation emerged as major sectors. The internet created millions of new jobs that didn’t exist before, such as web development, cybersecurity, and social media management.

    AI and Job Transformation
    AI, like past technological advancements, will change the nature of work and the skills required, but it will also create new opportunities:

    Enhanced Creative Tools:

    Art, Literature, and Music: AI can serve as a tool to enhance creativity rather than replace it. Artists, writers, and musicians can use AI to generate ideas, automate repetitive tasks, and explore new creative possibilities.

    For example, AI can assist in composing music, creating digital art, and writing content, allowing creators to focus on higher-level creativity.

    Advanced Manufacturing:

    AI can improve efficiency, precision, and safety in manufacturing processes.

    While some manufacturing jobs may be automated, new roles in programming, maintaining, and overseeing AI-driven machinery will emerge. AI can also lead to innovations in product development and production techniques.

    New Job Creation:

    AI Specialists: The development, implementation, and maintenance of AI systems require skilled professionals. This includes AI researchers, data scientists, machine learning engineers, and AI ethics specialists.

    AI Integration Roles: Many traditional industries will need professionals who understand how to integrate AI into their existing systems, creating roles such as AI consultants, trainers, and integration specialists.

    While AI will indeed transform many job roles and industries, history shows us that technological innovations ultimately lead to the creation of new jobs and industries. By adapting to new technologies and acquiring new skills, the workforce can continue to thrive. The key is to focus on education and training to ensure that people are prepared for the jobs of the future.

    AI will bring changes and challenges, but also immense opportunities for growth and innovation, much like past technological revolutions.

  10. #410

    Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Shell is also making big investments in CCS.

    And in a related story (because Shell Energy is my electricity provider), we’ve got power back at Team Ledet World HQ! Whew.


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