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Thread: Interesting point!

  1. #11

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    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    Yes ... but not 77% of the time when the series goes three games.

    Hypothesizing here ... our super regionals (three to date) have all gone three games ... very competitive. I would venture to say that if you looked at a statistically significant sample, you would find that the winner of Game 2 tends to win the series more than not when there is a third game (it always wins if it goes two). I also believe it may be by a significant margin. Momentum plays a real role here.

    Brian
    I agree. That's why I personally believe our only shot is to win in two. And that ain't happening.

  2. #12

    Default Re: Interesting point!

    If it goes to a 3rd game we are doomed.


  3. #13

    Default Re: Interesting point!

    Quote Originally Posted by CajunDreDog View Post
    If it goes to a 3rd game we are doomed.
    i don't see that at all. i think a game 3 would be a real toss-up.

  4. #14
    Just1More's Avatar Just1More is offline Ragin Cajuns of Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Greatest Fan Ever

    Default Re: Interesting point!

    I don't think there's any correlation to the statistical evidence and our series. It's all about depth in all 3 facets of pitching... and being good right now... through 3 contests. I don't agree that we don't have 3 good days of pitching. It all depends on how many good innings we get out of our first and second game platoons. LSU is as apt to exhaust pitching as we are. They have some mystery in their pitching staff. If their best work arrives this weekend, we're in trouble. If it doesn't, they're in trouble.


  5. #15
    Just1More's Avatar Just1More is offline Ragin Cajuns of Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Greatest Fan Ever

    Default Re: Interesting point!

    Quote Originally Posted by CajunDreDog View Post
    I agree. That's why I personally believe our only shot is to win in two. And that ain't happening.
    Your logic isn't aligning with Brian's. Most analysts would see us losing tonight against Lange. Our best shot, theoretically, is in game 2. Brian is saying that the game 2 winner, statistically, wins the series - obviously if it only goes 2 - but also in a game 3 series where the game 2 winner takes the intangible "momentum" into the finale. We aren't highly likely to take this series in 2. We have a shot if we can get to game 3.

  6. #16

    Default Re: Interesting point!

    71.5% of all statistics have been proven to be wrong 14.66% of the time!


  7. #17

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    Quote Originally Posted by Just1More View Post
    Your logic isn't aligning with Brian's. Most analysts would see us losing tonight against Lange. Our best shot, theoretically, is in game 2. Brian is saying that the game 2 winner, statistically, wins the series - obviously if it only goes 2 - but also in a game 3 series where the game 2 winner takes the intangible "momentum" into the finale. We aren't highly likely to take this series in 2. We have a shot if we can get to game 3.
    The voodoo of Alex Box comes out in game 3, which makes logic go out the window.

  8. #18

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    Quote Originally Posted by CajunDreDog View Post
    The voodoo of Alex Box comes out in game 3, which makes logic go out the window.
    Is this the voodoo of which you speak?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q2VbpU7mPuQ

    Think positive, friend.

  9. #19

    Default Re: Interesting point!

    This team has been defying the odds all year


  10. #20
    Zeebart21's Avatar Zeebart21 is offline Ragin Cajuns of Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Greatest Fan Ever

    Default Re: Interesting point!

    fgggg em. Its time to play.


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