Poor Higgs, man. 13 ABs 9 Ks.
You cannot look at the RPI ranking to determine how an opponent did/did not affect your own RPI. You need to isolate the variables. Your RPI ranking can rise, even though your RPI (the value) falls (and vice-versa). This is because teams in the vicinity of your ranking had their RPI fall more. Also, your RPI (the value) may rise playing an Arkansas State, because your opponents performed particularly well that night, even though their direct impact damaged your RPI.
What you need to do to determine opponent impact (such as a win vs. Arkansas State tonight) is hold all other opponents' contributions constant and compute ASU's impact to your OWP and OOWP ... while including the win and increase in your OWP. Your RPI (the value) can then be compared to your prior RPI (the value). Then you know the impact.
I can tell you that a road win over Arkansas State (isolated) will still bring down the Cajuns' RPI (the value). The effect on the Cajuns' RPI ranking will depend on what teams in the Cajuns' vicinity do tonight (and the Cajuns' opponents, and the Cajuns' opponent's opponents, etc.).
Brian
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