Louisiana vs. Wake Forest - Score Predictions

[Cajunsmike]

Wake has a quirky offense. I think we give up lots of chunk plays and they score often. The question is whether or not our offense can keep up. Cajuns will have to score in the 40’s to win.

I reviewed stats from their game vs Virginia as that is a team at their level. They lost 32 to 31 (may have been 31 to 30) when Virginia scored a TD with around 2 minutes to go. Wake ran over 80 offensive plays in that game with greater than 40 both running and passing. They had almost 500 yards of offense and a receiver caught 16 passes in the game. We will have our hands full dealing with their offense. Their defense is not as strong as their offense. We will have to play a clean game to have a chance. Obviously better than we performed vs Tulane.

[Cajunsmike]

Can Des' teams get angry? I have yet to see them do it.

Disagree. They were too emotional last week which led to missed tackles and other missed assignments. In my younger years I believed a team being very hyped was a great thing. As I have gotten older, I have learned that excessive emotion is a negative. Often that is due to not knowing how to react when things go badly and they WILL at some point. Of course you need to be excited to play. However that excitement needs to be challenged into intense focus on your assignment vs trying to take someone’s head off. Once you get hit in the mouth, that pre game hype means little

[Swamp]

From MGM-

Louisiana vs Wake Forest Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this game with 57.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Cajuns and Deacons, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Louisiana vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/co...af-week-5-jaa/

Louisiana: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest

Louisiana is 2-6 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .444

Louisiana is 4-6 (.400) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .551

Louisiana is 2-6 (.250) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .507

Louisiana is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .555

Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana

Wake Forest is 2-9 (.182) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .538

Wake Forest is 3-8 (.273) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .622

Wake Forest is 2-5 (.286) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .536

Wake Forest is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .457

[no1cajunfan]

Wake 35
Louisiana 21

Not much faith in coming home with a W in this one.

42
17
Wake

[JamesTheJeweler]

LOUISIANA - 34
DEMONIACS - 27

[Million$Mullet]

Ragin Cajuns- 41
Decent deacons- 40

[ULvictory]

Cajuns win 28-24

[Turbine]

I can't believe all these posters are going WAKE on us.

[cajunref]

Mediocrity continues under this staff, WF by 13. Prove me wrong please....

[VObserver]

Why are all you people predicting Cajuns wins in one score games? Des' teams are 2-10 in games decided by 8 or fewer points. I have no problem predicting wins, but not by fewer than 9.

Cajuns 38
Wake 28