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Thread: Regional Projection 5-11

  1. #11

    Default Re: Regional Projection 5-11

    Quote Originally Posted by MountainDew View Post
    RPI is frustrating. I think overall I would say it’s a good ranking system. But when it hurts, it really hurts. 9-1 in our last 10 games but dropping every day. I think we were as high as 38th in the last couple week? Now down to 56 and I’m sure will drop further even with a win tonight. That sucks.
    Yep, its really simple…go win the conference. Thats what we can control.

  2. Default Re: Regional Projection 5-11

    Quote Originally Posted by MountainDew View Post
    RPI is frustrating. I think overall I would say it’s a good ranking system. But when it hurts, it really hurts. 9-1 in our last 10 games but dropping every day. I think we were as high as 38th in the last couple week? Now down to 56 and I’m sure will drop further even with a win tonight. That sucks.
    Again, the Cajuns' RPI was affected positively in a very small way with the win last night over Rice. It will be up .0002 tonight with another win. It has been our opponents' performance that has brought our RPI down (last night ... and during our 9-1 streak). And we were not at #38 at the beginning of that 9-1 streak ... it was at the 5-0 point of our streak. So think ... 4-1 and a letdown from our opponents recently.
    Brian

  3. #13

    Default Re: Regional Projection 5-11

    Quote Originally Posted by RaginScotsman View Post
    Do we want coastal to get a miracle or continue to lose?
    Lose, or they will steal an at large spot. Hopefully Georgia southern can beat Georgia tech, USM beat ole miss and south al beat uno tonight. Need our previous opponents to get their ___ together.

  4. Default Re: Regional Projection 5-11

    Quote Originally Posted by RaginScotsman View Post
    Do we want coastal to get a miracle or continue to lose?
    Lose.

    Brian

  5. Default Re: Regional Projection 5-11

    I’m assuming we want georgia southern to beat ga tech tonight. uSA UNO was canceled. And ULM plays jackson state. We obviously want them to win.


  6. #16

    Default Re: Regional Projection 5-11

    Quote Originally Posted by crazycajun View Post
    Lose, or they will steal an at large spot. Hopefully Georgia southern can beat Georgia tech, USM beat ole miss and south al beat uno tonight. Need our previous opponents to get their ___ together.
    Well, ya. I wish it came down to run differential like in soccer.

  7. Default Re: Regional Projection 5-11

    Quote Originally Posted by RaginDave View Post
    I’m assuming we want georgia southern to beat ga tech tonight. uSA UNO was canceled. And ULM plays jackson state. We obviously want them to win.
    Affirmative. It may also help remove Georgia Tech from consideration.

    Brian

  8. #18

    Default Re: Regional Projection 5-11

    GoneGolfin/Brian,

    In what worst case scenario do you see Louisiana as an at large? As in, what is the very worse we can do the rest of the way, including the Conference Tournament, to get an at large?


  9. #19

    Default Re: Regional Projection 5-11

    Quote Originally Posted by MountainDew View Post
    RPI is frustrating. I think overall I would say it’s a good ranking system. But when it hurts, it really hurts. 9-1 in our last 10 games but dropping every day. I think we were as high as 38th in the last couple week? Now down to 56 and I’m sure will drop further even with a win tonight. That sucks.
    RPI is 25% your record, 25% your opponents, and 50 % opponents of your opponents. Such a system that is so heavily weighted on who you play and even more so on who they play is deeply flawed. It does not reward how you play nearly enough. A 34/33/33 breakdown would be much more appropriate. Others have made the same observation in the past but it won't change as it gives the schools in the high profile leagues an advantage over those who have less of a favorable schedule situation.

  10. #20

    Default Re: Regional Projection 5-11

    Quote Originally Posted by Cajunsmike View Post
    RPI is 25% your record, 25% your opponents, and 50 % opponents of your opponents. Such a system that is so heavily weighted on who you play and even more so on who they play is deeply flawed. It does not reward how you play nearly enough. A 34/33/33 breakdown would be much more appropriate. Others have made the same observation in the past but it won't change as it gives the schools in the high profile leagues an advantage over those who have less of a favorable schedule situation.
    I think you have those percentages swapped

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