FIU is sitting at 5-3 and will be favored in all 4 of their remaining games. If they win out they will get to 9-3. If we were to lose out and finish 7-5 and FIU goes 9-3, they could get picked ahead of us. FIU's remaining games are against WKU, FAU, ULM, and MT.
The other team besides ASU that we have to worry about is WKU. They are sitting at 6-6. They do play LSU later this year which I am couting as a loss. There other remaining games are against FIU, NT, and Troy.
WKU and FIU play each other, so one of the teams will lose which will help the Cajuns, but I guess the worse case senerio (if UL were to lose out) is for WKU to go 3-1 and finish 7-5 and ahead of the Cajuns in the SBC standings and have a head up win over the Cajuns and for FIU to go 8-4 and finish ahead of the Cajuns and finish with more wins.
We are close to a lock to get in but I don't think it is a lock just yet.