It is possible that we may not finish in the top 2 in the conference and still get the bowl invitation by default because we are bowl eligible and teams that may finish ahead of us in the conference standings may not be bowl eligible.
Teams such as WKU must still win 3/5 to become bowl eligible, NT must win 3/4 to become bowl eligible and we would hold a tie breaker in conference, ULM must win 4/5 to become bowl eligible, FIU must win 2/5 to become bowl eligble and we hold a tie breaker, MT must win 4/6, and Troy must win 4/6 to become bolw eligible and we hold tie breaker here also.
The way I see it and it is early, we are in good shape with one more win and 2 would about wrap this bowl thing up. If everyone else keeps knocking each other off each week they may not get bowl eligible eliminating themselves.
This week we are pulling for ULM to beat WKU, Troy to beat FIU, and Ark St. to beat NT.
This is a given: each win from here on out improves our chances and each week we are pulling for FAU and they cannot win the conference championship nor can they become bowl eligibe. FAU can at this point only play spoiler for any other team and improve UL's chances to make a bowl game.
Losing last week to WKU has really changed what can still happen in this conference, a win last week and I think we could have booked our rooms in New Orleans, now we still have to likely win one and see how it plays out, but I like or chances.