UL Baseball -- RPI Watch

[GoneGolfin]

_ Two things, Mr. Golfin...1) Cajun hairs are larger than other hairs, so I think I was alright there... and 2) I'm a half-full kind of guy, so I was only looking ABOVE us... and not looking BELOW us. :-) _

I recommend not looking down. That first step off of the bank building is a doozy.

Brian

[raginsaints]

Hypothetically, what would a 5-0 week do for us?

[CajunSaint]

_ Was there anyone already on the tallest building in Breaux Bridge that had jumped already? That thing 50 miles east had a pretty awesome (awesome for everyone but them) weekend. _

aw, c'mon, hawk. it's no big deal for their fans. remember what they said after we beat them...it's only baseball.

[GoneGolfin]

_ Hypothetically, what would a 5-0 week do for us? _

All other things being equal (meaning ... the Cajuns OWP and OOWP does not change ... which it will), the Cajuns' Adjusted RPI would move from .5480 to .5623 with a 5-0 week. Using the present Adjusted RPIs for all teams (which will change), this would put the Cajuns at #49.

Unfortunately, games against teams like Northwestern State (#187) and Florida International (#40) work against the Cajuns relative to what those teams' rankings would normally yield. IOW ... as an example, the Cajuns would be better off playing #291 Savannah State than #187 Northwestern State! Yes ... a win over #291 Savannah State would be better than a win over #187 Northwestern State (by .0010) ... and a loss against #291 Savannah State would be better than a loss against #187 Northwestern State (assume road games, as we are not accounting for the possibilities of RPI penalties). There are only 300 teams playing Division I baseball. This illustrates the fragility of the RPI formula and how it is not suited for actual use.

In fact, beating #40 Florida International is only .0032 better than beating #291 Savannah State.

As another example, the Cajuns would be better off playing #153 New Mexico State than #40 Florida International. A win over New Mexico State is worth .0012 more than a win over Florida International ... and a loss to New Mexico State is worth .0012 more than a loss to Florida International.

These are not isolated corner cases. I can come up with countless other examples until the cows come home.

Yes, folks, that is what happens when a ridiculous formula is used. The flaw is in how the formula is weighted (heavy bias towards OWP). And this is why I have said that is better to schedule teams that have decent records against weak schedules than schedule good teams with mediocre records against strong schedules.

[CajunsHat]

Probably effects our RPI, but dem tigers loss again!


igeaux.mobi

[cajunhawk]

_ aw, c'mon, hawk. it's no big deal for their fans. remember what they said after we beat them...it's only baseball. _

Another mid week game loss for the kitties. It doesn't mean anything. I hear they are actually talking about softball on tigerdroppings. I thought that was meaningless to them?

[CajunsHat]

Another mid week game loss for the kitties. It doesn't mean anything. I hear they are actually talking about softball on tigerdroppings. I thought that was meaningless to them?

If they say it's meaningless, it actually means something. Its gotta be a baton rouge thing...?



igeaux.mobi

[GoneGolfin]

_ Probably effects our RPI, but dem tigers loss again!

Simply LSU playing Northwestern State will result in a decent hit to their OWP. LSU losing also obviously hurts our OWP. Finally, there is a good chance the loss drops them out of the Base RPI Top 25, which means we lose .0006 in RPI bonus.

Some positives from tonight ...

- Rice defeated Texas A&M
- Florida Atlantic defeated Central Florida
- Southern Mississippi was up on Ole Miss late, but it is now 4-4 in extra innings.

Brian

[cajunhawk]

_ Simply LSU playing Northwestern State will result in a decent hit to their OWP. LSU losing also obviously hurts our OWP. Finally, there is a good chance the loss drops them out of the Base RPI Top 25, which means we lose .0006 in RPI bonus.

Some positives from tonight ...

- Rice defeated Texas A&M
- Florida Atlantic defeated Central Florida
- Southern Mississippi was up on Ole Miss late, but it is now 4-4 in extra innings.

Brian _

C'mon USM beat Ole Miss!!!!

[GoneGolfin]

C'mon USM beat Ole Miss!!!!

Done.

Brian


igeaux.mobi

[cajunhawk]

_ Done.

Brian


igeaux.mobi _

[CajunRed]

We're at "54" as of this morning (Wednesday)...and one Cajun hair behind guess who.

Hint...they wear green and we hate 'em.


igeaux.mobi