If the cajuns win out do they still have a shot of winning the sunbelt?
If the cajuns win out do they still have a shot of winning the sunbelt?
As a matter of fact, we do. I'm surprised no one has talked about this earlier.
The bottom line is that we have to win out. No ifs, ands, or buts about that. If we do win out, we mathematically eliminate everyone except North Texas, New Mexico St., and Utah St.
North Texas - We need them to lose one of their remaining conference games (besides ours), which include vs. ULM, vs. Idaho, and at Arkansas St. We know that Arkansas St. has a tough team, especially at home, where they beat Troy, so this is certainly possible. Let's just say we should all use the bye week to become ULM fans, as that game is this weekend.
New Mexico St. - We also need them to lose both of their remaining conference games, which are vs. MTSU and at Utah St. They also have games against FL International and Atlantic, but I don't think those count for Sun Belt purposes. Correct me if I'm wrong about that.
Utah St. - If they win out, they would be tied with us. I'm not really sure how that tie would be broken. Maybe someone else around here knows.
So, the bottom line is that, will a Sun Belt title for the Cajuns is improbably to say the least, it is still very possible if the cards fall the right way. Here's hoping they do.
PS - If anybody finds any mistakes in what I said, please correct me. It seems like every sports/football website has different numbers in their Sun Belt standings. Probably a result of the confusion over those "designated conference games" we used to have. Or just general apathy.
In the case of a tie...the sunbelt decides who goes to the bowl game
Actually, its the New Orleans Bowl Committee that would break a tie.
I believe the UTEP game against NMSU counted as a conference game.
New Mexico State's Game against FAU is a conference game. They picked up their second loss over the weekend. That's enough. (I'll explain why in a minute).
All we need is to win them all, have UNT lose one and have MIDDLE TENNESSEE lose one.
Middle plays eight conference games. If they go 6-2 they have a better conference win pct than we do.
In case of a tie, the New Orleans bowl makes the selection. They are NOT going to choose someone who is leaving the league, which is why NMSU is no big deal now.
Have ULM beat UNT. We beat UNT. MTSU loses one time. We win out.
We go.
the teams that are leaving the conference cannot go to the new orleans bowl if i'm not mistaken unless i mis-understood, so we need to win out and n tex need to lose one other i hope this helps unless someone has it another way.
Thanks for clearing that up, BoP. I forgot all about the departing league member stuff. Looks like we are in much better position than I thought we were.
With games remaining vs. Utah St., at NMSU, vs. ULM, and at Troy, you have to figure that MTSU is going to lose another game.
North Texas still plays vs. ULM, vs. Idaho, and at Arkansas St. I like ULM's chances and I like ASU at home.
Now we just have to take care of this winning-out thing...
Boy I tell you, that is great info on dem cajuns. Winning out is going to be tough, but it is very possible, unless Babb is out. North Texas losing 2 of the next 4 is going to be even tougher. So let's just keep our fingers crossed for dem cajuns and tell Razoos to be waintin on us Dec. 14!
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