RIGHT NOW JUST A DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RIGHT NOW THE FORWARD SPEED, ALMOST 20MPH IS HOLDING BACK ANY QUICK DEVELOPMENT....