RPI Friday 5/28/2010 (through yesterday's games)

[J-Town Cajun]

_ 30 automatic bids ... 34 at-large bids.


Avoid warrennolan.com for Baseball RPI. These are just the Base RPI formulas and thus are quite different from actual RPI (Adjusted RPI). The Sun Belt is still 7th behind the Big East, but it is extremely close. Simply teams falling in/out of bonus tiers is enough to trigger a change.

That said, while it is extremely close, the NCAA selection committee is not going to look at four decimal place numbers to determine how close they are. They are simply going to look at an integer ranking. In the Nitty Gritty report that each selection member receives there will be a 6 or 7 next to the Big East and a 6 or 7 next to the Sun Belt. The last couple of days of play across the country will decide this.


"Lock" is a shorthand summary that prevents you from explaining the unnatural circumstances that would need to occur for a team to not make the field. Engaging in such an explanation of what would need to happen for a negative scenario would make folks' eyes rollover. Thus, we simplify.

Of course, if there were enough conference tournament upsets, you can argue that teams that would normally be fence #2/#3 seeds would be at risk (I am talking about extreme cases of 16 stolen bids instead of 3) ... but it is not going to happen.

I will know more Sunday night ... but I know that the number of conference tournament upsets that would need to occur to boot the Cajuns would be a very large number. I do not have the Cajuns as one of the last five teams in the field if stolen bids in 2010 hit the average of three ... that much I can say without having complete results through Sunday.

Brian _

Brian I though you said at one time that for conference rankings the NCAA uses a base RPI such as warrennolan.com. I may have misheard/misread or misunderstood you.

After your post I looked at the conference RPI closer and noticed warrennolan.com ranked 32 spots but 1 was independents. Which conference does not award an automatic bid. I am assuming it is a conference with not enough teams to qualify?

30 automatic bids are better than 32. That opens 2 more spots than I had originally thought.

[GoneGolfin]

_ Brian I though you said at one time that for conference rankings the NCAA uses a base RPI such as warrennolan.com. I may have misheard/misread or misunderstood you.

Also note that warrennolan.com is not correct for the Base RPI either. For example, Louisiana has a Base RPI of .5619 ... not .5614. As I said, avoid it.

If I did, I misspoke. But I can verify by working the math. I do not see why they would not use the Adjusted RPI.

Warrennolan.com does not compute the Base RPI correctly either. For example, Louisiana has a Base RPI of .5619 ... not .5614.

Note that Boyd has the Big East at #6 again.

After your post I looked at the conference RPI closer and noticed warrennolan.com ranked 32 spots but 1 was independents. Which conference does not award an automatic bid. I am assuming it is a conference with not enough teams to qualify?

The Great West is not awarded an automatic bid.

Brian

[Boomer]

_ Accidental double post. _

Watch it---A board cop jumped my ass for that!!!!!

[CajunT]

_ Watch it---A board cop jumped my ass for that!!!!! _

Yes, but posting under the influence, much like driving deserves some type of penalty! LOL!!

[GoneGolfin]

_ Watch it---A board cop jumped my ass for that!!!!! _

Does this mean I go to the penalty box and am not allowed to post for another 24 hours?

Brian

[GoneGolfin]

If I did, I misspoke. But I can verify by working the math. I do not see why they would not use the Adjusted RPI.

I was correct the first time. Evaluating the numbers, it is Base RPI that is used.

Brian