stAte attendance predictions

[cajun4life]

Near sellout

[CajunVic]

right now I see our fan base for football in the following numbers:

5,000 will always attend every game unless they are in the hospital or bed ridden

8,000 that will make substantially all games (80% attendance), rain or shine but will have an occasional family conflict events, opening day of some hunting season, etc. for which they may miss

6400 = 11,400

2,000 Season ticket holders not in either group (60% attendance) these purchase season tickets to support Louisiana but not necessarily as much to actually attend most games

1200 =13,600

20,000 Alumni who do not have season tickets but will attend a couple games a year if there is no family conflict, hunting conflict, conflict with an LSU game whether they want to attend the LSU game or even watch it on TV if there is a time conflict ( 15% attendance)

3,000 = 16600

others not in any of these categories 1,400

1400 = 18,000

Folks, that is our fan base whether we like it or not . . . we have seen that winning has boosted that number a couple of thousand, but it is what it is and really with minor anomalies has always reverted back to somewhere around that attendance number

The new stadium may move the needle somewhat but don't expect it to be a monumental movement.

If all that is proposed here to enhance the game day experience was put in place, that may move the needle somewhat, but again, don't expect the movement to be monumental.

If we do not get a somewhat robust NIL program in place, winning will continue to be more difficult and that will definitely reduce from the results we are having this year because of the reduction in talent that we are able to attract.

without the injection of personal insults and directives, lets entertain here your observations, objections and solutions as to each of the things provided above in an attempt to alter the past trends concerning attendance . . . have at it. . .

apply these factors to every game and you will be close with your prediction . . . The Bird

[Duckster]

Decent weather- 20,001
Bad weather- 11,001

[HOUCajun]

14200

[TammanyCajun]

I say 15,000-16,000.

[billbeck451]

game day in BR is going to screw up the traffic for anyone heading to the game from the east. Going to have to leave earlier and maybe take the old bridge to avoid the crap on the interstate near the campus

[BayouRichard]

I will take a wait and see with the weather coming. What are the chances of the game being moved or canceled?

[billbeck451]

I liked how one New Orleans station put it, there is a lot of shear that could push it in another direction at the end or it could rip it apart and we all end up with a breezy sunny weekend. Bottom line no one knows other than it isn't going to be strong

[ZoomZoom]

16,451

[cajun4life]

16,451

While I didn’t contribute to that number, we have to do better.

1. We have a very tiny fan base and have about a 10% foothold within Acadiana.

2. Without massive student participation and turnout we have zero chance of building a larger fan base.

3. It’s not ESPN’s fault.

4. We absolutely must fix tailgating and parking within the fence.

5. It takes more than just winning to get butts in the seats. We have proven this over and over.

6. Premium pricing won’t bring in more fans. We need the money, but at what cost to the base?

7. Can’t change the weather.

8. Schedule for the CFP, drop the FCS programs and get that extra datapoint.

9. Renovations will help bump attendance when complete. But the experience must get better as well.

10!!!! How about the athletic department actually listen to the ____ing fans when we give a step by step blueprint of what’s needed in order to regain and build fans. Since it’s basically a customer survey. Imbeciles!

[Turbine]

This is the free year to go mistake free.

It will help kickstart the new stadium.

[CajunVic]

Here it is the Gospel by the Bird on Sunday

Quote Originally Posted by CajunVic View Post
right now I see our fan base for football in the following numbers:

5,000 will always attend every game unless they are in the hospital or bed ridden

8,000 that will make substantially all games (80% attendance), rain or shine but will have an occasional family conflict events, opening day of some hunting season, etc. for which they may miss

6400 = 11,400

2,000 Season ticket holders not in either group (60% attendance) these purchase season tickets to support Louisiana but not necessarily as much to actually attend most games

1200 =13,600

20,000 Alumni who do not have season tickets but will attend a couple games a year if there is no family conflict, hunting conflict, conflict with an LSU game whether they want to attend the LSU game or even watch it on TV if there is a time conflict ( 15% attendance)

3,000 = 16600

others not in any of these categories 1,400

1400 = 18,000

Folks, that is our fan base whether we like it or not . . . we have seen that winning has boosted that number a couple of thousand, but it is what it is and really with minor anomalies has always reverted back to somewhere around that attendance number

The new stadium may move the needle somewhat but don't expect it to be a monumental movement.

If all that is proposed here to enhance the game day experience was put in place, that may move the needle somewhat, but again, don't expect the movement to be monumental.

If we do not get a somewhat robust NIL program in place, winning will continue to be more difficult and that will definitely reduce from the results we are having this year because of the reduction in talent that we are able to attract.

without the injection of personal insults and directives, lets entertain here your observations, objections and solutions as to each of the things provided above in an attempt to alter the past trends concerning attendance . . . have at it. . .
apply these factors to every game and you will be close with your prediction . . . The Bird