stAte attendance predictions

[Policarp]

17,359

[ZoomZoom]

Well, we might have a hurricane/tropical storm during homecoming unfortunately

I was concerned until I checked in with Levi this PM. Should be good.

[RedBug58]

Well, we might have a hurricane/tropical storm during homecoming unfortunately

Maybe the storm will hit Baton Rouge…..

[zeppelincajun]

15,241

[cajun4life]

Near sellout

[CajunVic]

right now I see our fan base for football in the following numbers:

5,000 will always attend every game unless they are in the hospital or bed ridden

8,000 that will make substantially all games (80% attendance), rain or shine but will have an occasional family conflict events, opening day of some hunting season, etc. for which they may miss

6400 = 11,400

2,000 Season ticket holders not in either group (60% attendance) these purchase season tickets to support Louisiana but not necessarily as much to actually attend most games

1200 =13,600

20,000 Alumni who do not have season tickets but will attend a couple games a year if there is no family conflict, hunting conflict, conflict with an LSU game whether they want to attend the LSU game or even watch it on TV if there is a time conflict ( 15% attendance)

3,000 = 16600

others not in any of these categories 1,400

1400 = 18,000

Folks, that is our fan base whether we like it or not . . . we have seen that winning has boosted that number a couple of thousand, but it is what it is and really with minor anomalies has always reverted back to somewhere around that attendance number

The new stadium may move the needle somewhat but don't expect it to be a monumental movement.

If all that is proposed here to enhance the game day experience was put in place, that may move the needle somewhat, but again, don't expect the movement to be monumental.

If we do not get a somewhat robust NIL program in place, winning will continue to be more difficult and that will definitely reduce from the results we are having this year because of the reduction in talent that we are able to attract.

without the injection of personal insults and directives, lets entertain here your observations, objections and solutions as to each of the things provided above in an attempt to alter the past trends concerning attendance . . . have at it. . .

apply these factors to every game and you will be close with your prediction . . . The Bird

[Duckster]

Decent weather- 20,001
Bad weather- 11,001

[HOUCajun]

14200

[TammanyCajun]

I say 15,000-16,000.

[billbeck451]

game day in BR is going to screw up the traffic for anyone heading to the game from the east. Going to have to leave earlier and maybe take the old bridge to avoid the crap on the interstate near the campus