Ragin Cajun CFP chances

[covcaj]

That is crazy. Ok. Thanks. FYI - I personally think Tulane is the best G5 team in college football. I think they are better than Boise.

They only consider the 24 teams with the best chance. According to this, Cajuns have the third best shot to make it, though Boise has a 71% chance to get in. Cajuns have a 9% chance.

[zephyr]

This graphic is nuts. WSU isn’t an AQ for the G5 spot yet listed. Tulane is AP Top 25, I understand AP is not CFP, but not listed. This can only mean the odds makers just don’t see anyone out of Army winning the AAC CCG. Which is crazy because Tulane is clearly the best team in their conference. What is even more confusing is yesterday Louisiana was at 7% but today at 9%….who even knows.

The Pac-12 is not a P4 conference and is still short of the full number of schools to be a traditional conference until Boise and the others are officially added

[tdncz]

I don't think the "PAC 12" (or whatever it becomes next year) will
EVER reclaim POWER conference status.
It will be part of the future "G6" (unless MWC completely dissolves).

[covcaj]

I don't think the "PAC 12" (or whatever it becomes next year) will
EVER reclaim POWER conference status.
It will be part of the future "G6" (unless MWC completely dissolves).

I don't think for playoff purposes there is a distinction between the "Power" group and the "Group" group. The highest ranked five conference champions get in, meaning it is technically possible that toe of the G5 teams could get in, though unlikely. Then, the next seven highest ranked teams get in. Which, again, technically means Boise could get in without winning its conference. I realize either of the scenarios is highly unlikely, but it is possible under the rules.

[Jacob81]

Question because it’s still not clear to me. If Boise, army, Tulane….. lose and Louisiana is the highest rank g5 conference champ, will they get the 5th auto bid into the playoff or is there some way Washington state could get it like the graphic shows them as a g5.

In my opinion wash state can’t claim to be a conference champ of a p4 or g5 this season. So they can get one of the 7 at larger spots, that is it.

This graphic posted is either wrong or the ncaa will screw the g5

[covcaj]

Question because it’s still not clear to me. If Boise, army, Tulane….. lose and Louisiana is the highest rank g5 conference champ, will they get the 5th auto bid into the playoff or is there some way Washington state could get it like the graphic shows them as a g5.

In my opinion wash state can’t claim to be a conference champ of a p4 or g5 this season. So they can get one of the 7 at larger spots, that is it.

This graphic posted is either wrong or the ncaa will screw the g5

I bow to those with more knowledge, but I don't think the PAC is viewed as a conference this year.

[Big Buds]

Question because it’s still not clear to me. If Boise, army, Tulane….. lose and Louisiana is the highest rank g5 conference champ, will they get the 5th auto bid into the playoff or is there some way Washington state could get it like the graphic shows them as a g5.

In my opinion wash state can’t claim to be a conference champ of a p4 or g5 this season. So they can get one of the 7 at larger spots, that is it.

This graphic posted is either wrong or the ncaa will screw the g5

Yes, Louisiana would be a shoe in for the playoffs assuming they win the SBC Championship at 12-1.

Wazzu is not an Automatic Qualifier being they do not have 8+ members in the current PAC.

[Jacob81]

Yes, Louisiana would be a shoe in for the playoffs assuming they win the SBC Championship at 12-1.

Wazzu is not an Automatic Qualifier being they do not have 8+ members in the current PAC.

Thanks. So the graphic is wrong. Either the wsu part or the g5 part.

[Cajun Power]

The reason some computer determined that we have a better chance than Tulane is because Tulane has Navy, Memphis, and then, if they beat Navy and Memphis, Army. The computer says they’re more likely to lose at least one, and we’re more likely to win out.

I think if Tulane does beat Navy, Memphis and Army (assuming Army is undefeated at the time) that they will be ranked ahead of us.

Boise’s gotta lose the conference championship though. Go CSU!

[cajun4life]

According to the website, if the Cajuns win out, including the championship, there is a 29% chance of making the playoffs... six week ago, who would have imagined we would be having this kind of conversation

I’ve been saying this all season! I got lambasted for saying 6 wins and bowl is not the goal, just part of the process.