NCAA baseball RPI

[lcitsh]

NCAA has released what I think is their first rpi rankings of the 2010 baseball season. Teams of interest:

Sun Belt
17. Western Kentucky
47. South Alabama
53. Cajuns
56. Arkansas State
59. Florida International
67. Florida Atlantic
71. Troy
76. Middle Tennessee State
151. Arkansas-Little Rock
162. Monroe
174. New Orleans

Others
16 LSU
44. Southeastern LA
55. Northwestern State
98. McNeese
172. Louisiana Tech
211. Centenary

[J-Town Cajun]

Question for Goingolfin. If the Cajuns win 75% of their remaining games and go deep into the conference tournament is their a chance at an at-large bid. I would think if we win 75% of our remaining games our RPI would be in the top 40 and we should be in the top 3-4 in the conference standing this might be just enough with history and fan base to sneak in? The Sun Belt as a conference is a solid 5th place in overall conference standings according to warrennolan.com only behind the traditional power conferences for baseball.

[CajunRed]

_ NCAA has released what I think is their first rpi rankings of the 2010 baseball season. Teams of interest:

Sun Belt
17. Western Kentucky
47. South Alabama
53. Cajuns
56. Arkansas State
59. Florida International
67. Florida Atlantic
71. Troy
76. Middle Tennessee State
151. Arkansas-Little Rock
162. Monroe
174. New Orleans

Others
16 LSU
44. Southeastern LA
55. Northwestern State
98. McNeese
172. Louisiana Tech
211. Centenary _

Two things I saw that I liked: 1) the Cajuns RPI is rising and we're not in terrible shape... and 2) Tech and Monroe's RPIs both suck.

[ManAboutTown]

Is anyone else surprised by our RPI? It really isn't bad at all, with chances to improve against WKU and Tulane.

Where does LeMoyne Rank in the RPI?

[lcitsh]

_ Is anyone else surprised by our RPI? It really isn't bad at all, with chances to improve against WKU and Tulane.

Where does LeMoyne Rank in the RPI? _

Here's the link:


http://web1.ncaa.org/app_data/weekly...10MBArpi1.html

[Dad04]

Houston Baptist is #239 on Boyd's.

[LifeTimeCajun]

Is anyone else surprised by our RPI? It really isn't bad at all, with chances to improve against WKU and Tulane.

Where does LeMoyne Rank in the RPI?

in the 100's last I looked. Maybe 125 ish??



igeaux.mobi

[CajunCherokee]

Where does LeMoyne Rank in the RPI? _

157

[GoneGolfin]

_ NCAA has released what I think is their first rpi rankings of the 2010 baseball season. Teams of interest:

Sun Belt
17. Western Kentucky
47. South Alabama
53. Cajuns
56. Arkansas State
59. Florida International
67. Florida Atlantic
71. Troy
76. Middle Tennessee State
151. Arkansas-Little Rock
162. Monroe
174. New Orleans

The Cajuns' Base RPI and Adjusted RPI actually fell after yesterday's games. Heading into Tuesday (after Monday's games), the Cajuns had a Base RPI of .5612 and an Adjusted RPI of .5624 (.0012 bonus). That was good for a rank of (51,53) respectively.

After yesterday's games (most notably the win over Houston Baptist), the Base RPI stood at .5608 with the Adjusted RPI at .5620 (a drop of .0004). However, due to other results from Tuesday, the Cajuns actually leapfrogged Pittsburgh and Boston College in the Adjusted RPI rankings (#51). The Cajuns' Base RPI ranking is #50.

Brian

[Turbine]

Brian what would a season ending run like UL had in 2003 do for the RPI?

In 2003 UL's RPI was 217 on March 17th and climbed all the way up to 49 by season end. LINK

[GoneGolfin]

_ Question for Gonegolfin. If the Cajuns win 75% of their remaining games and go deep into the conference tournament is their a chance at an at-large bid.

I would think if we win 75% of our remaining games our RPI would be in the top 40 and we should be in the top 3-4 in the conference standing this might be just enough with history and fan base to sneak in? The Sun Belt as a conference is a solid 5th place in overall conference standings according to warrennolan.com only behind the traditional power conferences for baseball.

Let's say the Cajuns finish 16-6 for an overall record of 35-20. That may be good for an RPI in the neighborhood of 40. But a lot depends on how our opponents finish the season. I think the crucial element of the Cajuns drive for a bid will be their record in remaining conference play. 11-4 in the remaining conference games (18-12 overall) is probably required to finish 4th in the Sun Belt.

- The Cajuns are not likely to catch any of Western Kentucky, South Alabama, or Arkansas State ... especially since South Alabama and Arkansas State hold the tiebreaker over the Cajuns.
- The Cajuns have already lost series to FAU (9-6) and FIU (6-6). They need to attain the tiebreaker over Middle (9-6).

I do not see the Cajuns finishing below 4th in the Sun Belt and having a shot at an at-large bid. Earning an at-large bid with a 4th place finish is a long shot, but possible with a good conference tournament run (finals). Unless Arkansas State and South Alabama collapse in the RPI, it will be difficult for the NCAA to choose the Cajuns over either one. Which would mean the NCAA may need to select four teams from the Sun Belt if the Cajuns are to make the field. Not likely, but it has happened before and could very well happen again. Much depends on conference tournament upsets throughout the country.

For the Cajuns to be the 3rd team in the Sun Belt selected, the Cajuns would likely need to 1) tie or be very close to South Alabama, Arkansas State, or Western Kentucky ... 2) defeat the team from above they are closest to in the conference tournament ... 3) have as good as or better RPI than that team. Based on past history, if the Cajuns finish 1 or 1 1/2 games behind one of those teams but have a double digit lead in RPI, they could leapfrog.

Some other points ...

- The Cajuns need to beef up their record vs. the RPI Top 25, RPI Top50, RPI Top 75, and RPI Top 100. Games (nine in total) against Western Kentucky, Middle Tennessee, Tulane, and McNeese State are very important. The Cajuns are 0-1, 1-5, 6-11, and 10-13 respectively in these categories. Not good. Winning that series against Western Kentucky is oh so important, as is Middle Tennessee.

- The Cajuns may be in competition with Tulane for a bid. Tulane has a Base RPI of 78 and an Adjusted RPI of 81. They are also in a pack of teams vying for the CUSA title (a very balanced conference in '10) ... just one game out of first place. The Cajuns can really help themselves with a road win at Tulane. Also, if Tulane can get their Base RPI into the top 75 and keep it there at selection time, a road win at Tulane would earn the Cajuns an RPI bonus ... their last chance to earn such a bonus.

- Unfortunately, the remaining schedule is a bit weak w/respect to RPI. The average Base RPI for the remaining schedule is 122.4. The Cajuns need all of their opponents to do well (past and present). Unfortunately, the Sun Belt is not much help tonight. Hopefully Western Kentucky can at least pull it out over Louisville (aRPI of 6) tonight.

- Fan base has nothing to do with it.

- The Sun Belt holds a very slim lead over CUSA and the Big West in Conference RPI. I am not optimistic it will hold over either ... but we can hope.

Brian

[GoneGolfin]

_ 157 _

Through last night's games, LeMoyne is #152 with a .4942 (both Adjusted and Base RPI).

LeMoyne has been impressive in several games and not so impressive in others. For example, they took 2/3 at Southern Mississippi the weekend before USM took 2/3 in Lafayette. The Dolphins also nearly took one from Louisville (lost 6-5 in ten innings after allowing four runs in the bottom of the 10th). They also swept a Marshall squad on the road that is not bad.

Brian