There will be 240 open dates added to the first four weeks of the season that the breakaways won't be padding their schedule with.
I know some believe scheduling is hard work not worth doing, but its about to get a lot easier.
A lot of those teams will be undefeated deep into to season.
For one, the TV contract will increase.
Secondly when you have 4-1 or 5-0 teams coming in to face a 5-0 or 4-1 Louisiana team, there will be more than $250,000 increase in revenues at home games that will offset the $1.5 mil currently earned in appearance fees.
If you don't believe me, wait and see the attendance numbers for the ULM game if both teams, stay on their current course.
Remember, this is a proposal by Disney, for all of the P4. This is not what has been going on. The Big10 and the SEC have been cherry picking others to create the P2. I have a hard time believing they will now relent and share money with the other P conferences. A poster on the conference realignment board had a similar take that makes sense:
The SEC and Big Ten can get there on their own:
1) Create more TV event games by eliminating FCS or G5 games.that adds up to 3 (for B1G) or 4 (for SEC) better match-ups per team for media partners.
2) Consolidate media negotiations for the two conferences.take negotiating leverage back from the broadcasters/media.
3) Create inter-conference scheduling and payout tiers based on brands and on-field success
a) Tier 1 gets the highest payouts. This group consists of 8 SEC teams and 8 Big Ten teams.
b) Tier 2 is the balance of teams and payouts which are comparable to current B1G & SEC forecasts.
4) Allow movement within tiers based on on-field success (other than permanent members).
The structure would entice the blue blood programs (Alabama, Georgia, Texas, Michigan, Ohio State and USC) while providing floor guarantees to the rest of the SEC and Big Ten.
IMO, Sankey and Petitti will implement this structure to maintain individual control of their respective conferences and to keep out PE from getting their filthy hands on an ongoing share of the revenue. The specific ideas make sense for generating more revenue.
Yes and "a" G5 win.
Meaning the G5 will be adding 30 wins every week for the first four weeks of the season.
120 wins added before conference play begins.
On the other hand the 70 breakaways will be adding 35 losses weekly to their current totals.
One group will be losing fan interest, one will be gaining.
Why are you stuck on pointing out the obvious? Do you think we can avoid this loss in revenue? If they go through with this, we will lose money games, as will every other G school.
We can cry into our coush coush all we want. It wont change things, or we can be positive and start brainstorming now on how we can turn this into a positive.
Don't get distracted by the dollars.
I mentioned a game-theory analysis of the situation elsewhere. Here's the thing we need to remember: Football is a zero sum game. At the end of a season, the number of W's will equal the number of L's… exactly.
Which leads to an unexpected insight: the P5-4-3 want to control all of the W's. But they can't because we control most of the L's. If the game splits into Px and Gx, half of the Px will instantly suffer losing records.
At the same time, over half of the Gx will have better than winning records. That's because we will still play teams from 1AA, so our cumulative records will be 55-60% or so. We will expend less money (just as was true for the old AFL v the NFL) but it doesn't matter, more of us will have better records, and we will start to produce teams with great records, even more undefeateds.
Before continuing, I also need to point out that money won't seal the deal for a lot of players. If you play baseball from the time you're 10, you'll probably get playing time in over 700 games by the time you graduate college. For football, it may be less than 80, particularly if you don't start as a freshman in HS or college. Well, if you want to go pro, game experience is critical. The Px can't give you that, but if you are a standout, the Gx can.
And then there will be the outstanding players who want a real education, and who don't want to play with hired thugs who don't go to class, and who do all manner of questionable things. Because when the Px go completely pro, their programs will degrade into homes for social misfits who excel at a pointless game.
Finally, the athletics-over-all-else mentality will undermine the academic reputations of the Px schools. Once the Px and Gx are totally separated, there will be no direct athletic comparisons, but there will still be academic comparisons. Remember, UL has passed up LSU, 'Bama, and several other schools in research funding, and we will pass more of them in the future. Other academic disparities will emerge. And the constant scandals from the Px will reinforce the message that they are more reformatory than laboratory.
So, our records will improve, but theirs will decline. They will whine, "You don't play anybody." We will respond, "You're afraid to play us."
With time, the two sides will have to settle the matter; remember, the big money wants, it pathologically needs, bragging rights. So the two sides will eventually establish a championship game, a college superbowl. And just like the early Superbowls, the NFL will dominate. They're bigger, and they pay more.
But there will be upsets. And with time, parity will emerge.
Like I said, the administrators at the big schools are clueless bozos.
[Hey Turb, the software here won't allow a dot-dot-dot for an ellipsis it converts it to a single period. Makes it hard, I had to find the ASCII, … ]
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