Originally Posted by
CajunFun
Don't get distracted by the dollars.
I mentioned a game-theory analysis of the situation elsewhere. Here's the thing we need to remember: Football is a zero sum game. At the end of a season, the number of W's will equal the number of L's… exactly.
Which leads to an unexpected insight: the P5-4-3 want to control all of the W's. But they can't because we control most of the L's. If the game splits into Px and Gx, half of the Px will instantly suffer losing records.
At the same time, over half of the Gx will have better than winning records. That's because we will still play teams from 1AA, so our cumulative records will be 55-60% or so. We will expend less money (just as was true for the old AFL v the NFL) but it doesn't matter, more of us will have better records, and we will start to produce teams with great records, even more undefeateds.
Before continuing, I also need to point out that money won't seal the deal for a lot of players. If you play baseball from the time you're 10, you'll probably get playing time in over 700 games by the time you graduate college. For football, it may be less than 80, particularly if you don't start as a freshman in HS or college. Well, if you want to go pro, game experience is critical. The Px can't give you that, but if you are a standout, the Gx can.
And then there will be the outstanding players who want a real education, and who don't want to play with hired thugs who don't go to class, and who do all manner of questionable things. Because when the Px go completely pro, their programs will degrade into homes for social misfits who excel at a pointless game.
Finally, the athletics-over-all-else mentality will undermine the academic reputations of the Px schools. Once the Px and Gx are totally separated, there will be no direct athletic comparisons, but there will still be academic comparisons. Remember, UL has passed up LSU, 'Bama, and several other schools in research funding, and we will pass more of them in the future. Other academic disparities will emerge. And the constant scandals from the Px will reinforce the message that they are more reformatory than laboratory.
So, our records will improve, but theirs will decline. They will whine, "You don't play anybody." We will respond, "You're afraid to play us."
With time, the two sides will have to settle the matter; remember, the big money wants, it pathologically needs, bragging rights. So the two sides will eventually establish a championship game, a college superbowl. And just like the early Superbowls, the NFL will dominate. They're bigger, and they pay more.
But there will be upsets. And with time, parity will emerge.
Like I said, the administrators at the big schools are clueless bozos.
[Hey Turb, the software here won't allow a dot-dot-dot for an ellipsis it converts it to a single period. Makes it hard, I had to find the ASCII, … ]
Re: Welp, we all knew this day was coming
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