So you folks will know, Rob Perrillo has already said that this storm, if it hits Louisiana, it would only be on the southeastern most part of the state . . .
So you folks will know, Rob Perrillo has already said that this storm, if it hits Louisiana, it would only be on the southeastern most part of the state . . .
all of the models had this as a Fl storm this afternoon with a projection all the way over at the curve, also most of the models have it coming in as a cat 1 with only one showing a stronger storm.
Hopefully these projections hold
If someone wants to start a drinking game, watch local weather and knock a brew back every time they say "we're not out of the woods yet". Between the three broadcasts (5 PM, 6 PM and 10 PM), and channel hopping, might get a good drunk going.
The 2:00 PM update shows a CAT 2 maybe CAT3 hurricane hitting Apalachicola Florida during the day on Thursday. Then up into Georgia, Tennessee and Carolinas after that. I have to give the NHC credit this year. Once they stated posting warning cones they have been pretty close this year. They should be pretty close with this one also with today being Monday and a potential landfall on Thursday. The track could vary a few hundred miles but I would be surprised if it hit anywhere other than the Florida Panhandle. Georgia and Carolinas could get a lot of rain. It could affect our game at Wake Forest.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/gra...?cone#contents
Tropical tidbits has the spaghetti models up.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#09L
Here is Perillo trying to scare everyone into buying useless caes of water and SPAM.
This morning's GRAF Model for visualization of the potential intense development of #PTC9 which will likely become Tropical Storm Helene Tuesday. GRAF is to the right/east of the official NHC track which we cannot trust since the system still hasn't formed.so please follow NHC track and guidance and not this model!
In their initial advisory for PTC9, the NHC is forecasting maximum intensity at a high end Category 2 for starters, but acknowledging this system could have major hurricane potential.
If there are no direct land interactions with the Yucatan Peninsula or Western Cuba, this system will become a big storm and will bring higher end impacts to portions of Florida.what most likely area of the state are yet TBD.
I would look for hurricane watches to be issued for portions of the Florida Coast (primarily Panhandle/Big Bend/NW Peninsula) by Tuesday morning, with warnings likely to follow about 12-18 hours later.
PS Louisiana looks to be in the clear with the system but higher than normal tides will likely come to portions of the eastern part of the state later Wednesday into Thursday. #PTC9 #helene
Maui was the first and only time I have seen SPAM on the menu at Burger King!
Not my words. That fear monger, Perillo, mongering fear once again. Come on, he is posting that the only effects might be high tides! This goes against the narrative of his drama llama ways! Looking at you zoom
DR. Levi Cowan is the man
https://youtu.be/___us-lsOXY?si=W-l8Sw9Ov3Wb6Mdy
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