I will wait to see what Tropical Tidbits has to say. The basics of a good model is initial conditions. Kind of hard getting initial conditions on a system that doesn't have a center of circulation.
From tropical tidbits
Initialized. 7 pm ,CDT 9/22
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/stor...cks_latest.png
I initialized noon CDT 9/22
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/stor...efs_latest.png
To hell with a thunderstorm. We got Wake Forest.
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