Here is Perillo trying to scare everyone into buying useless caes of water and SPAM.
This morning's GRAF Model for visualization of the potential intense development of #PTC9 which will likely become Tropical Storm Helene Tuesday. GRAF is to the right/east of the official NHC track which we cannot trust since the system still hasn't formed.so please follow NHC track and guidance and not this model!
In their initial advisory for PTC9, the NHC is forecasting maximum intensity at a high end Category 2 for starters, but acknowledging this system could have major hurricane potential.
If there are no direct land interactions with the Yucatan Peninsula or Western Cuba, this system will become a big storm and will bring higher end impacts to portions of Florida.what most likely area of the state are yet TBD.
I would look for hurricane watches to be issued for portions of the Florida Coast (primarily Panhandle/Big Bend/NW Peninsula) by Tuesday morning, with warnings likely to follow about 12-18 hours later.
PS Louisiana looks to be in the clear with the system but higher than normal tides will likely come to portions of the eastern part of the state later Wednesday into Thursday. #PTC9 #helene