From tropical tidbits
Initialized. 7 pm ,CDT 9/22
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/stor...cks_latest.png
I initialized noon CDT 9/22
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/stor...efs_latest.png
To hell with a thunderstorm. We got Wake Forest.
So you folks will know, Rob Perrillo has already said that this storm, if it hits Louisiana, it would only be on the southeastern most part of the state . . .
all of the models had this as a Fl storm this afternoon with a projection all the way over at the curve, also most of the models have it coming in as a cat 1 with only one showing a stronger storm.
Hopefully these projections hold
If someone wants to start a drinking game, watch local weather and knock a brew back every time they say "we're not out of the woods yet". Between the three broadcasts (5 PM, 6 PM and 10 PM), and channel hopping, might get a good drunk going.
The 2:00 PM update shows a CAT 2 maybe CAT3 hurricane hitting Apalachicola Florida during the day on Thursday. Then up into Georgia, Tennessee and Carolinas after that. I have to give the NHC credit this year. Once they stated posting warning cones they have been pretty close this year. They should be pretty close with this one also with today being Monday and a potential landfall on Thursday. The track could vary a few hundred miles but I would be surprised if it hit anywhere other than the Florida Panhandle. Georgia and Carolinas could get a lot of rain. It could affect our game at Wake Forest.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/gra...?cone#contents
Tropical tidbits has the spaghetti models up.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#09L
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