2024 Hurricane Season

[BabbForHeisman]

Well if you live on the Texas Coast you might want to make sure you are finishing up your hurricane preps. Beryl appears to be making more of a northern turn than originally thought. Problem is depending on when that turn starts could result in a significant change in landfall position. Could be anywhere from Brownsville to north of Corpus Christi.

Good thing is that southern/central Texas will more than likely get some relief from the drought they are currently experiencing.

Hurricanes always move north/east from the original projection. Projections rarely (if ever) go south/west.

I have a completely unfounded theory that this is because weather models don’t take into account friction with the land, which is different than friction with water. Maybe they do, but I like my theory.

[Cajun90]

Hurricanes always move north/east from the original projection. Projections rarely (if ever) go south/west.

I have a completely unfounded theory that this is because weather models don’t take into account friction with the land, which is different than friction with water. Maybe they do, but I like my theory.

Due to angular momentum (spin of storm & spin of earth) all tropical systems are pulled poleward. High pressure ridges often keep them from moving poleward but as soon as they find a weakness they all head North (in our hemisphere). Just depends on where those weaknesses occur. Thus the issue with Beryl. Depending on when that weakness occurs will depend on when the poleward turn happens. Since this is expected very near the Texas coast it could have a significant effect on actual landfall position.

[ZoomZoom]

There was a small unnamed tropical system 1956 in the Atlantic that moved southward before being swept up NE by a frontal boundary. Very rare.

[CajunVic]

stay tuned

rob should have some great forecasting for all of us at 5:00

I’m sure then the RP meteorologists will way in

get your generators and beer boxes ready

[Big Tyme]

There was a small unnamed tropical system 1956 in the Atlantic that moved southward before being swept up NE by a frontal boundary. Very rare.

There have been a few that have done loops as well. Weather is weird.

[Fais do-do]

I pray all my fellow Cajuns are safe. Down here in the Galveston area we are getting some steady hard wind and rain. Thanks ERCOT for no electricity, glad they spend all that money, billions, on infrastructure (too bad it was on stupid renewable crap and not upgrading the existing structure)!

[ultracajun]

Going to be lots of generators running tonight and the next week

[Turbine]

Hopefully everyone is safe

[Redgineer]

We were without power for just today. The wind gusts topped out at 100 mph in Galveston.

[Fais do-do]

Still in the dark here but my emergency window unit & generator are a saving grace! The wind gusts were very bad. Seen several storms roll thru but this one snapped ALOT of palm trees and oaks in half in my neighborhood.

[ZoomZoom]

I pray all my fellow Cajuns are safe. Down here in the Galveston area we are getting some steady hard wind and rain. Thanks ERCOT for no electricity, glad they spend all that money, billions, on infrastructure (too bad it was on stupid renewable crap and not upgrading the existing structure)!

People all excited about UL and the solar farm. Hope there’s a backup plan, seen this first hand. Hurricane force winds and solar panels. No quick fix.

[CajunVic]

sunk cost the day those were put in

[ZoomZoom]

sunk cost the day those were put in

But political animals always abound up front on projects like these, only to ghost the population when this happens. When Texas had the ice storm a few years ago, the green people turned invisible.

[CajunVic]

But political animals always abound up front on projects like these, only to ghost the population when this happens. When Texas had the ice storm a few years ago, the green people turned invisible.

I was including in the sunk cost the government subsidy which is paid up front and usually includes in the project some measure of upfront load or stipend for the manager of the project

like I said, sunk cost

[Big Tyme]

But political animals always abound up front on projects like these, only to ghost the population when this happens. When Texas had the ice storm a few years ago, the green people turned invisible.

https://www.texastribune.org/2022/02.er-storm-2021/

Yeah, not green energy's fault. Maybe those 'political animals' screaming deregulation.