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Thread: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

  1. #121

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record


  2. #122

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    Why would anyone think this is a good argument?

  3. #123

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    Numbers. When you look at it that way, what's the issue?

    Nice post, Slick!

  4. #124

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    how many of the storms that they name now would not have been named before, they were discussed and the experts would say their is a disTurbinece and it wouldn't really form or they said this is going out to sea and it wouldn't get named, so while we all enjoyed the break we mostly had in the 70's and 80's where we were in a very quiet cycle we really aren't seeing a more storms than before just more are getting named. How many of the "storms" last year wouldn't have been named in past years. Part of the problem now is disaster or weather porn where every thunderstorm gets hyped. Just look at this week if you looked at social media you would have thought that a strong storm was heading to the gulf just because a wave was being shown on one projection model.
    I follow https://Hurricanetrack.com as the guide that I use because Mark Sudduth is level headed and still analyzes data and doesn't hype just for clicks.


  5. #125

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    Quote Originally Posted by moorecajun View Post
    Numbers. When you look at it that way, what's the issue?

    Nice post, Slick!
    ALWAYS follow the money. Does not matter the cause, NGO, government, church, business, whatever. ALWAYS follow the money.

    Such as the obvious push to name any swirl of clouds, especially close to the US. Named weather system, hurricane deductible kicks in. Monetary move, framed with “climate change”.


    Points of reference, the deadliest. Interesting point, Katrina not on list. Won’t touch that political hot potato.

    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastdeadlyapp1.shtml?

    With today’s generation’s attention span of a gnat, all history seems to be forgotten. But Solomon was right, nothing new.

  6. #126

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    Quote Originally Posted by billbeck451 View Post
    how many of the storms that they name now would not have been named before, they were discussed and the experts would say their is a disTurbinece and it wouldn't really form or they said this is going out to sea and it wouldn't get named, so while we all enjoyed the break we mostly had in the 70's and 80's where we were in a very quiet cycle we really aren't seeing a more storms than before just more are getting named. How many of the "storms" last year wouldn't have been named in past years. Part of the problem now is disaster or weather porn where every thunderstorm gets hyped. Just look at this week if you looked at social media you would have thought that a strong storm was heading to the gulf just because a wave was being shown on one projection model.
    I follow https://Hurricanetrack.com as the guide that I use because Mark Sudduth is level headed and still analyzes data and doesn't hype just for clicks.
    Maybe the issue is where some of you are getting your info. Not one forecaster said anything about a storm from that one model run. The drama y'all complain about is coming from inside your house.

  7. #127

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    LOL. That is NOT a good take. Concentration is not an indicator of effect. 1/48000 of a teaspoon of botulism toxin is lethal.

  8. #128

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    Quote Originally Posted by Big Tyme View Post
    LOL. That is NOT a good take. Concentration is not an indicator of effect. 1/48000 of a teaspoon of botulism toxin is lethal.
    Or even lesser, fentanyl. ��

  9. #129

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    Quote Originally Posted by Big Tyme View Post
    LOL. That is NOT a good take. Concentration is not an indicator of effect. 1/48000 of a teaspoon of botulism toxin is lethal.
    .and reducing carbon in the atmosphere will not benefit plant life, will it? Have they, ie. climate alarmist, told the plants that they need to get off CO2 yet?

  10. #130

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    Quote Originally Posted by SlickRick View Post
    .and reducing carbon in the atmosphere will not benefit plant life, will it? Have they, ie. climate alarmist, told the plants that they need to get off CO2 yet?
    "Won't someone think of the plants?" was not on my Bingo card today.

  11. #131

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record


  12. #132

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    Quote Originally Posted by Big Tyme View Post
    We’re down to only 70% chance of nothing happening. And if it does Mexico gets needed rain.

    And now KADN says FEMA has conducted a study and Lafayette is the most at risk city/parish in LA. Worse than NO and Jefferson. One of the reasons is that NO has levees. O dear. I can only imagine the depth of that study. Must have been based on its Lafayettes turn. Scary bad analysis. Obviously not UL grads.

  13. #133

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    time to refresh your Hurricane links


    Mikes weather page

    https://www.spaghettimodels.com/


    NOAA

    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/


    And the most definitive source of information Dr. Levi Cowan is the boss.

    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/


  14. #134

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    Quote Originally Posted by Big Tyme View Post
    Goodness knows our local yokel weathermen are trying. Darla kinda reeled Heath in at 5:00 report by emphasizing “potential”.

  15. #135

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    That was awesome to watch.

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