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Thread: 2024 Hurricane Season

  1. Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    Quote Originally Posted by Cajun90 View Post
    Well if you live on the Texas Coast you might want to make sure you are finishing up your hurricane preps. Beryl appears to be making more of a northern turn than originally thought. Problem is depending on when that turn starts could result in a significant change in landfall position. Could be anywhere from Brownsville to north of Corpus Christi.

    Good thing is that southern/central Texas will more than likely get some relief from the drought they are currently experiencing.
    Hurricanes always move north/east from the original projection. Projections rarely (if ever) go south/west.

    I have a completely unfounded theory that this is because weather models don’t take into account friction with the land, which is different than friction with water. Maybe they do, but I like my theory.

  2. #197

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    Quote Originally Posted by BabbForHeisman View Post
    Hurricanes always move north/east from the original projection. Projections rarely (if ever) go south/west.

    I have a completely unfounded theory that this is because weather models don’t take into account friction with the land, which is different than friction with water. Maybe they do, but I like my theory.
    Due to angular momentum (spin of storm & spin of earth) all tropical systems are pulled poleward. High pressure ridges often keep them from moving poleward but as soon as they find a weakness they all head North (in our hemisphere). Just depends on where those weaknesses occur. Thus the issue with Beryl. Depending on when that weakness occurs will depend on when the poleward turn happens. Since this is expected very near the Texas coast it could have a significant effect on actual landfall position.

  3. #198

    Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    There was a small unnamed tropical system 1956 in the Atlantic that moved southward before being swept up NE by a frontal boundary. Very rare.


  4. Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    stay tuned

    rob should have some great forecasting for all of us at 5:00

    I’m sure then the RP meteorologists will way in

    get your generators and beer boxes ready


  5. Default Re: NOAA issues its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record

    Quote Originally Posted by ZoomZoom View Post
    There was a small unnamed tropical system 1956 in the Atlantic that moved southward before being swept up NE by a frontal boundary. Very rare.
    There have been a few that have done loops as well. Weather is weird.

  6. #201

    Ragin' Cajuns Hurricane Beryl

    I pray all my fellow Cajuns are safe. Down here in the Galveston area we are getting some steady hard wind and rain. Thanks ERCOT for no electricity, glad they spend all that money, billions, on infrastructure (too bad it was on stupid renewable crap and not upgrading the existing structure)!


  7. #202

    Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Going to be lots of generators running tonight and the next week


  8. Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Hopefully everyone is safe


  9. #204

    Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    We were without power for just today. The wind gusts topped out at 100 mph in Galveston.


  10. #205

    Ragin' Cajuns Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Still in the dark here but my emergency window unit & generator are a saving grace! The wind gusts were very bad. Seen several storms roll thru but this one snapped ALOT of palm trees and oaks in half in my neighborhood.


  11. #206

    Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Quote Originally Posted by Fais do-do View Post
    I pray all my fellow Cajuns are safe. Down here in the Galveston area we are getting some steady hard wind and rain. Thanks ERCOT for no electricity, glad they spend all that money, billions, on infrastructure (too bad it was on stupid renewable crap and not upgrading the existing structure)!
    People all excited about UL and the solar farm. Hope there’s a backup plan, seen this first hand. Hurricane force winds and solar panels. No quick fix.
    Attached Images Attached Images  

  12. Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    sunk cost the day those were put in


  13. #208

    Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Quote Originally Posted by CajunVic View Post
    sunk cost the day those were put in
    But political animals always abound up front on projects like these, only to ghost the population when this happens. When Texas had the ice storm a few years ago, the green people turned invisible.

  14. Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Quote Originally Posted by ZoomZoom View Post
    But political animals always abound up front on projects like these, only to ghost the population when this happens. When Texas had the ice storm a few years ago, the green people turned invisible.
    I was including in the sunk cost the government subsidy which is paid up front and usually includes in the project some measure of upfront load or stipend for the manager of the project

    like I said, sunk cost

  15. Default Re: Hurricane Beryl

    Quote Originally Posted by ZoomZoom View Post
    But political animals always abound up front on projects like these, only to ghost the population when this happens. When Texas had the ice storm a few years ago, the green people turned invisible.
    https://www.texastribune.org/2022/02...er-storm-2021/

    Yeah, not green energy's fault. Maybe those 'political animals' screaming deregulation.

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