2024 Hurricane Season

[ZoomZoom]

True. Of course he always qualifies his statements with "check with local authorities" yada yada. Dave Baker was saying yesterday that, historically, the final path of 2/3 of the hurricanes fall within the "cone of uncertainty" the NHC publishes. While that may be good it also means that 1/3 don't. The NHC relies on computer models and as always computer models are only as good as the data they have to work with AND initial conditions. A little bit off in either one can make a big difference in projections 2 or three days down the road.

The "check with local authorities" is basically legal boilerplate.

[60swerethebest]

Models have great difficulty anticipating and predicting effect of dry air infusion as well as effects of dust. Shear they do pretty well on. This from one of my old AF weather buds.
Of course we’re both old so I wouldn’t pay much attention to him.
The silliness is the predictions before a system develops. All the models have to have a starting point. So they guess where that is. And then show cones. Silly.
Just wait until it’s something.

[Turbine]

.
The silliness is the predictions before a system develops. All the models have to have a starting point. So they guess where that is. And then show cones. Silly.
Just wait until it’s something.

Meh dats like pradicin bowl uponets two weeks in da season. yeah

[Swamp]

Meh dats like pradicin bowl uponets two weeks in da season. yeah

Gimee cornbread

[RaisingCajun08]

This is erroneous. Everyone's fav Perillo was pointing out the GRAF was showing a veer to the east and more towards St Mary well before NHC decided to shift its track forecast.

I saw Rob's post which was 12+ hours after the models were picking up the shift. Post was also right before NHC moved their track for the 1st time. After they move the track, there as a "Boom" post from Rob trying to point out to everyone that he is right.

[ZoomZoom]

I saw Rob's post which was 12+ hours after the models were picking up the shift. Post was also right before NHC moved their track for the 1st time. After they move the track, there as a "Boom" post from Rob trying to point out to everyone that he is right.

He’s missing the point. It’s not always the message, it’s the manner of messaging. People are tired of fear mongering weathermen in general. If he’s doing a “boom” piece, the heat is on or he’s very thin skinned.

They’ll jettison him soon. The ratings book will show fluffy news broadcasts with people from God knows where with high school annunciation skills are killing the station. They’ll dump the highest paid employee and hire two more neighborhood reporters and cover Mamou and Perry.

JWJ’s alter ego needs to do a spoof bit…maybe doing a hurricane report standing in Na-Nan’s ditch.

All this said, even the legendary Dick Farout eventually fell in line with the standard narrative and mongering.

[HelmutVII]

He’s missing the point. It’s not always the message, it’s the manner of messaging. People are tired of fear mongering weathermen in general. If he’s doing a “boom” piece, the heat is on or he’s very thin skinned.

They’ll jettison him soon. The ratings book will show fluffy news broadcasts with people from God knows where with high school annunciation skills are killing the station. They’ll dump the highest paid employee and hire two more neighborhood reporters and cover Mamou and Perry.

JWJ’s alter ego needs to do a spoof bit…maybe doing a hurricane report standing in Na-Nan’s ditch.

All this said, even the legendary Dick Farout eventually fell in line with the standard narrative and mongering.

That's why I get my weather from Dave Baker
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PyT8tpyiVTk

[jcstewart]

Never forget.



https://youtu.be/tocuyJ1Fu7U

[Big Tyme]

I saw Rob's post which was 12+ hours after the models were picking up the shift. Post was also right before NHC moved their track for the 1st time. After they move the track, there as a "Boom" post from Rob trying to point out to everyone that he is right.

"Zero local weathermen publicized that but not surprised." So this was wrong? Just say you were wrong.
Maybe the Boom was about the track moving and Lafayette not being in the eyewall . Not everyone is as thin-skinned as some RP posters. He would not have a reason for a 'told you so' moment. Literally everyone saw that he was right.
Also weird how yall know so much about people that you swear you do not watch or pay attention too. Very weird.

[HelmutVII]

Never forget.



https://youtu.be/tocuyJ1Fu7U

that never gets old.

[Big Tyme]

that never gets old.

I think it's one of the dumbest things in the world. Like everyone knows what wind and rain is. You do not have to stand in it!

[Cajunrunner]

that never gets old.

Ollie Williams doesn't have to be all overdramatic like that guy to get his point across.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b6ZzEEaKC90

[NewsCopy]

Sahara desert hit by extraordinary rainfall event that could be related with this year's hurricane season

Full Story
Live Science

[ZoomZoom]

Sahara desert hit by extraordinary rainfall event that could be related with this year's hurricane season

Full Story
Live Science

The wobbling earth always survives.