Yes, something shocking would need to happen for the Cajuns to fall that far. Something several standard deviations from the mean. And even if that happened, the Cajuns would receive an at-large bid. The Cajuns are playing for 2/3 positioning and the establishment of some momentum entering the NCAA Tournament.
A win today over JMU and the Cajuns would currently move to #33 … but that could change based on the Coastal result this morning.
A loss and the Cajuns would fall to #40. Again, this is all other things being equal and pending a lot of tournament play today. But the thing to watch would be schools around the Cajuns making big moves due to big wins.
Brian