D1 Field of 64 Projections

[GoneGolfin]

Brian, trying to make sense of how Indiana State's RPI is so highly ranked. Their schedule doesn't seem like anything special, but they have gone on the road/neutral 29 (20-9 record) times vs 12 (11-1 record) home games. Is that the main factor (along with winning obviously)?

It is a combination of 1) winning 14 road games 2) only losing 1 home game 3) playing only 12 home games and 4) playing a schedule that has a number of teams with good winning percentages (regardless of the teams' respective RPI rank). The RPI ranks of their opponents is less important than the above.

I said earlier, Indiana State is the post-child for overachieving w/respect to RPI. They are not nearly as good as their RPI says. This was true last year as well.

Brian

[CajunSID]

It is a combination of 1) winning 14 road games 2) only losing 1 home game 3) playing only 12 home games and 4) playing a schedule that has a number of teams with good winning percentages (regardless of the teams' respective RPI rank). The RPI ranks of their opponents is less important than the above.

I said earlier, Indiana State is the post-child for overachieving w/respect to RPI. They are not nearly as good as their RPI says. This was true last year as well.

Brian

Flip side is I don’t feel Cajuns RPI is representative of who they are. Based on RPI, they are a 4 seed.

Field performance alone, feel like this team is a low 2/high 3. When look at schedule, it’s a shame how Wright St turned out. Don’t think that could have been predicted.

But was scheduling both Rice and Tulane at home the mistake, considering the teams (while potentially good for a fan draw) are currently down programs?

[cajundiehard]

Question for Brian... Is OWP (and OOWP) calculated straight up... i.e. home/road losses all equal one. Or - does OWP weight home/road wins/losses, like a teams own WP (1.3/0.7), in that calculation?

[Jacob81]

Question for Brian... Is OWP (and OOWP) calculated straight up... i.e. home/road losses all equal one. Or - does OWP weight home/road wins/losses, like a teams own WP (1.3/0.7), in that calculation?

I’m not Brian but I think the answer is no. OWP is opponents records minus games against you. OOWP is opponents opponents records including games against you.


And road/ home doesn’t factor

[Jacob81]

Cajuns adjusted record is currently 29.1-14.2

[GoneGolfin]

Question for Brian... Is OWP (and OOWP) calculated straight up... i.e. home/road losses all equal one. Or - does OWP weight home/road wins/losses, like a teams own WP (1.3/0.7), in that calculation?

Only the WP component utilizes home/road weighting.

Brian

[GoneGolfin]

I’m not Brian but I think the answer is no. OWP is opponents records minus games against you. OOWP is opponents opponents records including games against you.


And road/ home doesn’t factor

Precisely to all.

Brian

[cajundiehard]

Thank you both!

[Swamp]

Link: https://d1baseball.com/postseason/20...ections-may-1/

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[CajunVic]

I guess on a positive note, each of these sites posted here do have us in somewhere.

[Jacob81]

I’ll say it again. Get past #1 and it’s all down hill from there. Lamar first round could be fun.

Oklahoma is not a host in my opinion. Lamar swept them in Norman.

[Esqueleto]

Link: https://d1baseball.com/postseason/20...ections-may-1/

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Could be hosting LA Tech in the supers