D1 Field of 64 Projections

[GoneGolfin]

Here's the thing, though. While I'm not an RPI guru, or know really anything about the process, from everything I gather reading Brian's posts and watching our team with my own eyes, if we end up a #2 seed, it will be one of the last 2-seeds left to award.

It would make sense that a bottom 2-seed would be matched up vs. one of the very best 1-seeds, would it not? And your weaker 1-seeds would be matched up vs. one of your very best 2-seeds.

Per my other post ... the Cajuns are not a 2 seed at the moment. They would need a strong finish to get there. If the Cajuns do not win the Sun Belt regular season, I do not think they make the tournament (as an at-large). That should give you an additional indicator as to where they are now.

Re: bottom 2-seeds paired with strong #1 seeds. It is one of the things that they consider and it is sometimes something they can do (within reason) ... just as with weak #4 seeds paired with strong #1 seeds. But geography is a more important consideration for the selection committee. The entire picture needs to be evaluated.

Brian

[GoneGolfin]

Presumably James Madison's problem is their conference finish (if the season ended today)? I guess their strong RPI wouldn't make up for that? I would love to see 4 teams from the Belt get in...

Yes, this is one of their two big problems ... conference finish and record. They still have time to improve and move up ... along with a good conference tournament showing (the NCAA looks at overall conference record).

The other problem ... the reason they have an RPI ranking of 30 is due to some good scheduling. However, they did not win many of those games. Even if you include Q3 (Q1 + Q2 + Q3), they have a losing record (they are 11-3 in Q4). While they will get credit for a strong NC schedule, you need to win. There have been numerous teams in the past left out of the postseason with Top 30 RPIs ... notably from the power conferences. RPI is not an absolute by any means.

Now, they are still in the running for an at-large bid and have time to course correct. But they need a good finish while also hoping that stolen bids are as few as can be.

Brian

[GoneGolfin]

Yes, this is one of their two big problems ... conference finish and record. They still have time to improve and move up ... along with a good conference tournament showing (the NCAA looks at overall conference record).

The other problem ... the reason they have an RPI ranking of 30 is due to some good scheduling. However, they did not win many of those games. Even if you include Q3 (Q1 + Q2 + Q3), they have a losing record (they are 11-3 in Q4). While they will get credit for a strong NC schedule, you need to win. There have been numerous teams in the past left out of the postseason with Top 30 RPIs ... notably from the power conferences. RPI is not an absolute by any means.

Now, they are still in the running for an at-large bid and have time to course correct. But they need a good finish while also hoping that stolen bids are as few as can be.

Another team that had better right the ship is Coastal. They are not a lock for the tournament. They might even be a #3 seed at the moment. Big series in Hattiesburg this weekend for both teams.

Brian

[cajundiehard]

Wow (Coastal) from a legitimate likely host to potentially not making the tournament...

That's two YUGE series in the Belt this weekend! Should be some excellent baseball!

GEAUX CAJUNS!

[Esqueleto]

Wow (Coastal) from a legitimate likely host to potentially not making the tournament...

That's two YUGE series in the Belt this weekend! Should be some excellent baseball!

GEAUX CAJUNS!

It'll only take one bad weekend for UL to be knocked out of the projections or placed on the fence, too. Gotta play good ball the next 2 weeks

[CAJUNJUDO]

Good news. Upset #1 and the road to Omaha is easy. Hahaha

This is the attitude to have.
The 2000 team went on the road and beat #1 seed South Carolina.

It can be done.

[CajunVic]

This is the attitude to have.
The 2000 team went on the road and beat #1 seed South Carolina.

It can be done.

It'll only take one bad weekend for UL to be knocked out of the projections or placed on the fence, too. Gotta play good ball the next 2 weeks

which fan do you want to be

[GoneGolfin]

Yes, this is one of their two big problems ... conference finish and record. They still have time to improve and move up ... along with a good conference tournament showing (the NCAA looks at overall conference record).

The other problem ... the reason they have an RPI ranking of 30 is due to some good scheduling. However, they did not win many of those games. Even if you include Q3 (Q1 + Q2 + Q3), they have a losing record (they are 11-3 in Q4). While they will get credit for a strong NC schedule, you need to win. There have been numerous teams in the past left out of the postseason with Top 30 RPIs ... notably from the power conferences. RPI is not an absolute by any means.

Now, they are still in the running for an at-large bid and have time to course correct. But they need a good finish while also hoping that stolen bids are as few as can be.

I would also add that JMU has been horrible on the road ... 7-14.

Brian

[Boomer]

which fan do you want to be

…….Well my man……why not ask it??? What is your starting lineup for next year and W/E starters?

[Jacob81]

Georgia state is about to lose at home to Jacksonville state. Great start to the midweek for the belt.