BB G3 Final: Louisiana 10, Coastal Carolina 12

[DieHard 1280]

That’s exactly what I was thinking, Brian.





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[GoneGolfin]

That’s exactly what I was thinking, Brian.





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Thanks for the confirmation, DieHard.

Brian

[LouisianaB]

Brian, are some years more chaotic than others. I looked at hosts for the past three years, compared RPI on selection versus where they were around April 24 (today’s date).

Not too many big jumps in 2023 hosts. Auburn jumped 39 to 19, Miami 28 to 12

But 2022 had some large jumps for hosts.
- ECU 52 to 8
- North Carolina 49 to 4
- Louisville 40 to 18

Im not quite sure what I’m asking. Maybe it’s this: are some years just crazy and you’ll see larger movements up or down? And if so, what circumstances lead to that?

[GoneGolfin]

Brian, are some years more chaotic than others. I looked at hosts for the past three years, compared RPI on selection versus where they were around April 24 (today’s date).

Not too many big jumps in 2023 hosts. Auburn jumped 39 to 19, Miami 28 to 12

But 2022 had some large jumps for hosts.
- ECU 52 to 8
- North Carolina 49 to 4
- Louisville 40 to 18

Im not quite sure what I’m asking. Maybe it’s this: are some years just crazy and you’ll see larger movements up or down? And if so, what circumstances lead to that?

I do not know what may or may not be normal from year to year. But if you go on winning streaks like East Carolina and North Carolina did in 2022, you give yourself a chance to move up significantly. But you also need your opponents to do well. Just as important, it matters what the teams in front of you do. When you analyze this, you cannot look at ordinal ranking ... as it is just a sorted order and does not provide any concrete information regarding the difficulty in moving up. It is all about the RPI itself and how closely spaced (or not) the teams are.

Once thing that is obvious about 2022 is that #8 East Carolina (.58751) and #4 North Carolina's (.59706) RPIs are significantly down from the same ordinal spots in 2023 (#4 -> .61221 and #8 -> .60482). 2024 to date as well. As such, you had a situation in 2022 where teams at the top had significantly lower RPIs, making it easier for East Carolina and North Carolina to move up the way they did.

Brian