Only hard to believe if you believe that the RPI is a good arbiter of strength. You can game the RPI system to have a very high RPI without actually having proved that you can beat those peer teams (national seeds). Indiana State is proving this in baseball for the second consecutive season. As such, the NCAA considers other important metrics. Louisiana was left out last year for the same reason Minnesota was in 2017. Neither had the requisite wins.
No, not necessarily. Most of those are not damaging losses. In some situations, you can lose games and your RPI will increase. This was part of my case to the NCAA back in 2012.
Brian
I mentioned elsewhere that both Louisiana and LSU hosted regionals in 2014 and 2016. Being 60 miles down the road from each has never been a reason why one of the schools did not host a regional. It was about having the resume of a national seed (or not).
I did go back and look at recent years regarding the awarding of national seeds and host sites. Only once since 2011 did a national seed not host a regional. In that span, Georgia hosted as a #2 seed over #13 national seed Duke (2021). Why?
Recall that the 2020 season was canceled due to Covid and in 2021, the NCAA used pre-determined sites because of health and safety protocols .... such that there was sufficient time to certify third-party testing at the site. The pre-determined sites were a group 20 schools that were selected a few weeks earlier. Duke was not among those top 20 at the time. Duke closed strong and moved up into a national seed by selection time (15 consecutive wins). The NCAA expressed regret ... but also felt it was fair to award Duke the #13 national seed because they earned it.
Brian
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