Some of you may recall that I placed a significant bet on a UL win total of over 7.5. Needless to say it was a loser. When I placed the bet, here was my thinking.
I projected losses to ODU, Minnesota, Troy and then one to either USA or UAB, so my number was 8 to 8.5 wins. Yes, I projected a loss to ODU for 3 reasons. One, I absolutely hate that early of a ROAD conference game. Two, we had such a young team, I was worried about their first road game, in general. Three, ODU had added a new offensive coordinator that put up video game numbers at his previous spots.
With all that happened this season, I think 8 wins was still a good number. Both Georgia State and USM should've been wins, but turnovers and a really unfortunate injury to Burton, along with a bad decision to not insert Fordham immediately at center were costly.
I understand the frustration with the coaching staff and I share some of that frustration, however I think the underperformance this season was mostly a result of youth and turnovers. I cannot recall a season with so many turnovers in the red zone, and inside the 5 for that matter, simply incredible.
I also don't think we will see major defections to the transfer portal. This team continued to play extremely hard for CMD which I think bodes well.
My hope is that next year's projected win total is no higher than 7, really hoping for 6.5, so I can load up the wagon and make up for this year's loss and then some.