“Over that period, five-star recruits make up only .7% of the overall recruiting cycle. Yet, 117 five-star recruits have been selected and the draft rate over the past five years is 63%.
Since the 2017 NFL draft, 468 four-star recruits have been picked or 36.2% of the total — even though they make up only 2.8% of the number of recruits. The draft rate of four-star recruits over the past five years is 22.1%.
It would make sense that more three-star recruits have been selected over the years…since they make up a larger part of overall recruiting classes each cycle. Since 2017, there have been 9,728 three-star recruits and 517 of them have been drafted. Overall, the data from the past five years reveals that 40% of the players drafted have been three-star recruits coming out of high school. But with the much larger number of three-star recruits in each cycle, the draft rate is only 5.3%.”