Future Conference Breakdown (What we know now)

[HoustonCajun]

South Florida just made AAU. The PAC remnants will either keep it local or copy what the Big 12 did last year and go big with UTSA, SMU, Memphis, Tulane and USF.

JMO. The PAC 12 keeps Wash State, Oregon State, Cal, Stanford, Arizona State, Utah and adds SDSU, Colorado State, UNLV, Air Force, Boise State, and either Fresno State, San Jose State or Wyoming to remain a 12 or 14 team west coast conference conference and that is how you move up from G5 to P5. If the PAC 12 couldn't get the revenue to keep its members, adding MWC plus AAC schools while moving eastward like SMU and UTSA won't help with revenue and will only serve to dilute shares.

[cajunref]

This is happening, the SEC and B1G are going to be 20+ team super conferences and attempt to break away from everyone else.

Along with Florida State and Clemson to SEC.

[CajunNation]

According to Brett McMurphy, Big Ten is considering Oregon & Washington along with Stanford & Cal. Can you imagine a 20-team conference?

The best info right now is on espnu sat radio. Apparently, UW and Oregon balked at a deal a few months ago because it included lesser payments than the rest of the Big10. This was before CU left. They are negotiating now. I would be shocked if Cal and Stanford were part of the deal.

[CajunNation]

Along with Florida State and Clemson to SEC.

This might take a little longer. There will be Grant of Rights lawsuits to figure this one out, but I think eventually they both go.

[cajunjayhawk]

The expanded playoff comes with its consequences.

CFP expands to 12 in 2024 with (right now) "the top four conference champions, followed by some combination of the top six at-large bids and two highest-ranked remaining conference champions."
"... that guarantees at least one 'Group of 5' team will make the Playoff each year."
(https://www.sportingnews.com/us/ncaa...rn4xba7c6p0ksl)


Two 20+ team superconferences gives its members the best chance of being an at-large bid. With this realignment prediction, you must assume that the playoff format is changed because the the "top 5 conferences" will no longer represent the strength held by the 40+ teams in the Top 2.

Thus:
-"G5" representation will be removed
- Playoff will be expanded to 16

[Rainman66]

This might take a little longer. There will be Grant of Rights lawsuits to figure this one out, but I think eventually they both go.

Yes, the Grant of Rights issue is the main issue to ACC teams bolting. When that gets figured out/litigated than expect another HUGE change in the market.

[Louisiana84]

Florida State will have to pay the ACC $30 million per year for ten years to move to the SEC.

[Big Buds]

-"G5" representation will be removed
- Playoff will be expanded to 16

I’m afraid you are likely correct.

[ultracajun]

Time for a mid major super conference

[CajunEXPRESS]

Don't hold your breath, Texas State could be a player in the reformed MWC if they need options. Not saying it will happen, but it is a possibility. I know the SBC won't throw them out, but they could choose another path.

Right now the SBC West has more teams closer to TxSt than any MWC team. Gonna take a big MWC rework to change that.

[ZoomZoom]

Time for a mid major super conference

The moment that “mid major” gets attached by media to the SBC for football, we’re done. Laugh if you must, but book ALL other sports will follow in time.

[CrazyCajun]

What may end up is the SEC and Big 10 being two 24 team Super Conferences and then leave everyone else up in the air. That would be 48 of the proposed future 134 FBS schools. If that happens then 35% of your teams would be in 2 conferences, the other 65% would be forced to create conferences with whatever is left. SEC could be the expected 16 teams (current 14 and OU and Texas) with FSU, UNC, Clemson, Miami, Duke or NC State or both, VT and Georgia Tech (or someone else).

Big 10 would be current 16 teams then Oregon and Washington to make 18. They could suck up the rest of the PAC and that would be 22, then add 2 more teams from the AAC to complete their 24 teams conference.

At that point the SBC would be smart to grab what they can from the AAC in UAB, ECU and others to become a minor version of the Super Conference.

Which is really just 4 conferences branded under 2 names. Each division will be a conference. It’s gonna be the same top schools that win everything now.