Analyzing the Bubble

[zeppelincajun]

There isn’t a lot we can do about scheduling quality programs that just don’t pan out in a particular season. That’s just bad luck. One thing I would love to see us address is the SWAC schools on the schedule. 3 home games this year against the SWAC. All wins but against 260, 271, and 273 in the RPI. I remember we went away from scheduling these schools a while back. Get creative. Hit the road. Widen the net a little bit if we have to travel farther to possibly do some midweek 2 game mini series like we’ve done with UH in the past.

A conference tournament made up of only top 100 RPI teams was something to see. It would suck to see some of the benefits from this eroded by a lowering of our standards.

[CajunRage]

So I’m a douchebag because you can’t understand that “getting swept” has nothing to do with anything. Seriously, ZERO.

Everyone else participating in this discussion is telling you the same thing yet you continue to argue.

I don’t really know what else to tell you.

When they add up the wins and losses at the end of the conference season (and regular season for that matter) NOBODY looks through the schedule to see if you got swept. Your record is your record.

And if UL had won 1 of 3 at JMU, therefore NOT getting swept, it wouldn’t make near the difference as playing home games against teams that had terrible years, even if those games were wins.

It is what it is. If you want to call me more names, have at it. But it’s not going to make your stance on it any less wrong.

I apologize. Being fired up and drinking around the pool all day got to me.

I’m going to try and explain this one more time. I’m not saying the committee looks at either series and says that’s why. I’m looking at the hand we were dealt and how we played it. We had a 40+ win schedule. We played in the 5th rated conference. We made the conf tourney championship. Yet, we are still a bubble team. Where could we have made ourselves a lock? The schedule is what it is and we can’t control what other teams do against the rest of their schedule. I’m not going to say a weekday game because 1 game can go to anyone. That’s baseball. You play series because that’s a better indicator of who the better team is. App st and JMU are the two places on the schedule that we should have gotten 3 more wins. 43-19 and we are watching the selection show with our feet kicked up on the table. All I’m saying.

[Million$Mullet]

Ok I’ve had my morning coffee and read through the 7 pages of this thread that I missed last night. Sheesh….anywho, I must say I still got a feeling. Not sure it’s the coffee running through or what but I got a feeling.

[GeauxLA]

If we go 4-2 against JMU and App instead of 1-5, we also see a slight jump in our RPI, hopefully close enough to Oklahoma at 40. But instead, we are stuck at 47 and now giving a committee enough reason to justify OU over UL. That’s the significance of why you can’t go 1-5 against those teams.

[CajunRage]

If we go 4-2 against JMU and App instead of 1-5, we also see a slight jump in our RPI, hopefully close enough to Oklahoma at 40. But instead, we are stuck at 47 and now giving a committee enough reason to justify OU over UL. That’s the significance of why you can’t go 1-5 against those teams.

This

[MountainDew]

I can’t help but think we aren’t in this situation if Deggs doesn’t send Brock home to get hosed by 20 feet. Up 2-1 with the Bases loaded and 1 out with a chance to break it open. Obviously there’s 1000 other reasons we’re in this position but that one sticks out from yesterday.

[Dad04]

Three more wins would help the cause. Those two series are the most likely spots on the schedule where they could, should have come from. That is reasonable.

[sportsfanatic21]

If we go 4-2 against JMU and App instead of 1-5, we also see a slight jump in our RPI, hopefully close enough to Oklahoma at 40. But instead, we are stuck at 47 and now giving a committee enough reason to justify OU over UL. That’s the significance of why you can’t go 1-5 against those teams.

“Those teams” were both top 100 RPI teams that finished in the middle of the pack in the conference. They aren’t RPI killing “bad” losses

This team did plenty, on the field, to be sitting pretty today.

What’s hurting their RPI is merely showing up for home games against High Point (3), Grambling, Southern, and Jackson State.

BYU, SLU, Tulane, and La. Tech having a terrible aggregate record this season also hurt.

The schedule is why they are sweating this morning. Some of it self inflicted (3 SWAC teams) some of it just bad luck due to opponents having bad years.

[Dad04]

Rice was less than helpful at 165 RPI.

[Cajun Monkee]

Just kind of glancing over a few articles, and it would seem, I think that slightly more projections include the Cajuns than not.

But what I am seeing that concerns me is arguments that North Carolina State, regardless of a losing conference record, should be in because of their RPI while schools like Kansas State, Arizona State, and Oklahoma, should be in regardless of their RPI. And losing records in conference play.

And from what I saw of all the “mathing“ in the hours following our conference championship, Coastal actually went up in RPI, Southern Miss and Troy stayed pat, and we dropped one spot… Simply for making and losing in the conference championship game.

(Maybe whoever it was that canceled the football conference championship a couple of years ago, and decreed Coastal conference champion should’ve canceled yesterday‘s game likewise).

And not meaning to single out CajunRage, but reading your posts is starting to help me see Turbine’s point about double dipping.

What I am gathering through your posts is that the Cajuns should be penalized twice for losing games against inferior competition… Once by calculation in the RPI, and a second time for simply losing to inferior competition.

And also looking at Brian’s post… Just go look at the RPI rankings in the 40s above and below us.

I think under no circumstances should teams who win 1/3 of their conference games should make the NCAA tournament.

And when you compare our RPI calculating factors, I think we are better than schools like Cal Irvine and Kent State.

Approaching half of the 64 available spots are going to be awarded to the SEC, the ACC, the Pac 12, and the big 12.

At the end of the day, it seems the smarks are making arguments on why not to exclude P5 teams.