Analyzing the Bubble

[CajunRage]

If we go 4-2 against JMU and App instead of 1-5, we also see a slight jump in our RPI, hopefully close enough to Oklahoma at 40. But instead, we are stuck at 47 and now giving a committee enough reason to justify OU over UL. That’s the significance of why you can’t go 1-5 against those teams.

This

[MountainDew]

I can’t help but think we aren’t in this situation if Deggs doesn’t send Brock home to get hosed by 20 feet. Up 2-1 with the Bases loaded and 1 out with a chance to break it open. Obviously there’s 1000 other reasons we’re in this position but that one sticks out from yesterday.

[Dad04]

Three more wins would help the cause. Those two series are the most likely spots on the schedule where they could, should have come from. That is reasonable.

[sportsfanatic21]

If we go 4-2 against JMU and App instead of 1-5, we also see a slight jump in our RPI, hopefully close enough to Oklahoma at 40. But instead, we are stuck at 47 and now giving a committee enough reason to justify OU over UL. That’s the significance of why you can’t go 1-5 against those teams.

“Those teams” were both top 100 RPI teams that finished in the middle of the pack in the conference. They aren’t RPI killing “bad” losses

This team did plenty, on the field, to be sitting pretty today.

What’s hurting their RPI is merely showing up for home games against High Point (3), Grambling, Southern, and Jackson State.

BYU, SLU, Tulane, and La. Tech having a terrible aggregate record this season also hurt.

The schedule is why they are sweating this morning. Some of it self inflicted (3 SWAC teams) some of it just bad luck due to opponents having bad years.

[Dad04]

Rice was less than helpful at 165 RPI.

[Cajun Monkee]

Just kind of glancing over a few articles, and it would seem, I think that slightly more projections include the Cajuns than not.

But what I am seeing that concerns me is arguments that North Carolina State, regardless of a losing conference record, should be in because of their RPI while schools like Kansas State, Arizona State, and Oklahoma, should be in regardless of their RPI. And losing records in conference play.

And from what I saw of all the “mathing“ in the hours following our conference championship, Coastal actually went up in RPI, Southern Miss and Troy stayed pat, and we dropped one spot… Simply for making and losing in the conference championship game.

(Maybe whoever it was that canceled the football conference championship a couple of years ago, and decreed Coastal conference champion should’ve canceled yesterday‘s game likewise).

And not meaning to single out CajunRage, but reading your posts is starting to help me see Turbine’s point about double dipping.

What I am gathering through your posts is that the Cajuns should be penalized twice for losing games against inferior competition… Once by calculation in the RPI, and a second time for simply losing to inferior competition.

And also looking at Brian’s post… Just go look at the RPI rankings in the 40s above and below us.

I think under no circumstances should teams who win 1/3 of their conference games should make the NCAA tournament.

And when you compare our RPI calculating factors, I think we are better than schools like Cal Irvine and Kent State.

Approaching half of the 64 available spots are going to be awarded to the SEC, the ACC, the Pac 12, and the big 12.

At the end of the day, it seems the smarks are making arguments on why not to exclude P5 teams.

[Lafitte the Pirate]

I understand that a person from SE Louisiana is on the selection committee. Don’t count on him for support!

[cajundiehard]

I understand that a person from SE Louisiana is on the selection committee. Don’t count on him for support!

I don't know. Maybe they have a good relationship with the administration and will do what they can to promote baseball in Louisiana with the long view that strong baseball in the state will benefit SLU in the long run???

[CajunVic]

Nobody is a douche bag . . . “this” ain’t all it is cracked up to be . . . If 40 wins is not enough over OK’s 31, what is the mark . . . 41, 42, 43 . . . Beating Southeastern . . . Would 3 additional wins over non-field of 64 opponents move the needle . . . I feel like Boomer fight now . . .

[MountainDew]

Like Brian said, I don’t quite understand the UC Irvine love. I think if the committee does favor the Cajuns over another team, it’ll be them.

[sportsfanatic21]

Rice was less than helpful at 165 RPI.

Yeah I forgot about them.

[CajunRage]

Just kind of glancing over a few articles, and it would seem, I think that slightly more projections include the Cajuns than not.

But what I am seeing that concerns me is arguments that North Carolina State, regardless of a losing conference record, should be in because of their RPI while schools like Kansas State, Arizona State, and Oklahoma, should be in regardless of their RPI. And losing records in conference play.

And from what I saw of all the “mathing“ in the hours following our conference championship, Coastal actually went up in RPI, Southern Miss and Troy stayed pat, and we dropped one spot… Simply for making and losing in the conference championship game.

(Maybe whoever it was that canceled the football conference championship a couple of years ago, and decreed Coastal conference champion should’ve canceled yesterday‘s game likewise).

And not meaning to single out CajunRage, but reading your posts is starting to help me see Turbine’s point about double dipping.

What I am gathering through your posts is that the Cajuns should be penalized twice for losing games against inferior competition… Once by calculation in the RPI, and a second time for simply losing to inferior competition.

And also looking at Brian’s post… Just go look at the RPI rankings in the 40s above and below us.

I think under no circumstances should teams who win 1/3 of their conference games should make the NCAA tournament.

And when you compare our RPI calculating factors, I think we are better than schools like Cal Irvine and Kent State.

Approaching half of the 64 available spots are going to be awarded to the SEC, the ACC, the Pac 12, and the big 12.

At the end of the day, it seems the smarks are making arguments on why not to exclude P5 teams.

The point that I’m not getting across is (and I can see where it seemed this way in a couple posts) I’m not saying the committee is penalizing us for those losses. I’m saying that when you look at our schedule, that’s 3 wins that could make a significant difference and were in our control. Once the schedule is made, you can’t control your opponents record. I’d much rather have a control your destiny mindset rather than hope for our opponents to play better or blame that when we left wins in the table.