BB SBC Championship Saturday G1: Louisiana 7, Coastal 3

[CajunStros]

App state pulls it off. 4-2 final

[CajunVic]

It’s the only one we can win right now.

[Boomer]

Assuming we beat Coastal, we want App St to beat USM in the game being played right now. Somewhat levels out the pitching.

Coastal is a national seed regardless of what happens today. They also are down 1 & 2 starters and have used Sharkey twice. Cajuns are fighting for their lives. We have more to play for.

There is reason for optimism. We need a couple of pitchers to be super heroes.

…….so we really have played just one more game…..correct?

[cajundiehard]

If we were to somehow pull off the miracle and beat Coastal twice. Then wouldn’t it be better if we played USM in the finals regardless if we win? RPI wise?

RPI don't matter at this point. Cajuns are not an at-large team regardless. I'd rather play App in the finals.

[CajunVic]

Rawls

What you know that we don’t know . . . who’s ya mamma . . .

[jaxmc1023]

RPI don't matter at this point. Cajuns are not an at-large team regardless. I'd rather play App in the finals.

What do they mean by "first four out"? As in we were one of four teams that barely missed an at-large?

If that's the case, two wins against a top 8 team doesn't get is there (regardless of losing champ game)?

[GoneGolfin]

What do they mean by "first four out"? As in we were one of four teams that barely missed an at-large?

If that's the case, two wins against a top 8 team doesn't get is there (regardless of losing champ game)?

The First Four Out are never really the first four out as the projections (before the conference tournaments are complete) do not take into account stolen bids. They assume that there are no conference tournament upsets (teams that would not receive an at-large bid, but win the auto bid from their conference ... while a fellow conference mate obtains an at-large bid). On average, it is best to think of the first team out as about the fourth team out ... the fourth team out as about the seventh team out.

With two wins against Coastal and a loss in the Sun Belt Championship, the Cajuns *might*, *might* be able to muster an RPI ranking of about 45 (with some help). That is probably not enough, but I would not say no chance. It will depend on others (stolen bids, etc.). The probability is that the Cajuns will need to win the auto bid.

Brian

[sportsfanatic21]

What do they mean by "first four out"? As in we were one of four teams that barely missed an at-large?

If that's the case, two wins against a top 8 team doesn't get is there (regardless of losing champ game)?

Well that also doesn’t take into account any non regular season conference winners gaining an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament, ie…”stolen bids”

[cajundiehard]

What do they mean by "first four out"? As in we were one of four teams that barely missed an at-large?

If that's the case, two wins against a top 8 team doesn't get is there (regardless of losing champ game)?

That's just projections. First 4 out before ANY stolen bids. At an RPI of 67 right now, I'd be shocked if the Cajuns got an at-large - even if it somehow entered the 50's. I'd be nervous if the RPI was around 45 or so - but there would be a chance.

[GoneGolfin]

That's just projections. First 4 out before ANY stolen bids. At an RPI of 67 right now, I'd be shocked if the Cajuns got an at-large - even if it somehow entered the 50's. I'd be nervous if the RPI was around 45 or so - but there would be a chance.

The Cajuns are at 59. Also, 49 is not far away (.0047).

Brian

[angeleast]

Man, CC hitting early

[JamesTheJeweler]

Great look to have 20 people in the stands watching these games.