That is the likely scenario, even winning the tournament. They would need a significant amount of help to get there (outside of winning the tournament in undefeated fashion) . including Coastal Carolina making it to Sunday. Many teams in front of them would need to lose as well. A #3 seed is not out of the question if they lose the next two games. Put another way . they are closer to a #3 seed than a #1 seed at present.
Brian