Baseball week 11 rpi - May 14

[lcitsh]

I apologize for taking so long to post this. I'm still angry about Sunday night.

Sun Belt
https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/baseball/d1/rpi

10 15 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt 33-17 14-7 0-0 19-10 0-0
28 24 Southern Mississippi Sun Belt 35-15 11-10 0-1 24-4 0-0
35 36 Troy Sun Belt 36-17 14-9 0-1 22-7 0-0
47 37 Texas State Sun Belt 33-19 10-13 0-0 23-6 0-0
66 79 Louisiana Sun Belt 35-18 11-8 0-1 24-9 0-0
77 71 Old Dominion Sun Belt 31-20 13-10 0-0 18-10 0-0
88 76 Georgia Southern Sun Belt 24-27 10-14 0-1 14-12 0-0
95 97 James Madison Sun Belt 29-21 11-13 0-0 18-8 0-0
100 101 Appalachian State Sun Belt 26-21 10-8 1-1 15-12 0-0
101 111 Georgia State Sun Belt 28-25 7-16 0-0 21-9 0-0
112 109 South Alabama Sun Belt 23-27 8-10 0-1 15-16 0-0
220 215 Marshall Sun Belt 16-34 7-14 3-0 6-20 0-0
235 228 Arkansas State Sun Belt 16-31 3-16 0-0 13-15 1-0
255 248 ULM Sun Belt 16-35 6-14 0-0 10-21 0-0

https://stats.ncaa.org/selection_ran..._reports/32428

Team Conference Non-Div WL WL SOS Opponent SOS Road Success Road RPI RPI Bonus Penalty Sched Adj. RPI
Coastal Carolina Sun Belt 0-0 (41) 33-17 (45) 3 55 5 5 10 0 0 0 10
Southern Miss. Sun Belt 0-0 (41) 35-15 (24) 72 27 52 63 28 0 0 0 28
Troy Sun Belt 0-0 (41) 36-17 (31) 59 83 38 29 35 0 0 0 35
Texas St. Sun Belt 0-0 (41) 33-19 (54) 56 71 69 89 47 0 0 0 47
Louisiana Sun Belt 0-0 (41) 35-18 (41) 121 61 77 44 66 0 0 0 66
Old Dominion Sun Belt 0-0 (41) 31-20 (71) 104 74 63 48 77 0 0 0 77
Ga. Southern Sun Belt 0-0 (41) 24-27 (180) 40 39 102 94 88 0 0 0 88
James Madison Sun Belt 0-0 (41) 29-21 (95) 149 67 117 109 95 0 0 0 95
App State Sun Belt 0-0 (41) 26-21 (121) 101 66 57 50 100 0 0 0 100
Georgia St. Sun Belt 0-0 (41) 28-25 (140) 96 38 188 206 101 0 0 0 101
South Alabama Sun Belt 0-0 (41) 23-27 (193) 38 90 125 77 112 0 0 0 112
Marshall Sun Belt 0-0 (41) 16-34 (261) 81 139 201 179 220 0 0 0 220
Arkansas St. Sun Belt 1-0 (1) 16-31 (255) 107 168 265 274 234 0 0 0 235
ULM Sun Belt 0-0 (41) 16-35 (264) 159 102 228 220 255 0 0 0 255

[lcitsh]

Summary Report/Nitty Gritty: https://stats.ncaa.org/selection_ran...gritties/32428

Ranking Report: https://stats.ncaa.org/selection_ran..._reports/32428

Non-Conference Ranking Report: https://stats.ncaa.org/selection_ran..._reports/32428

Conference Ranking Report: https://stats.ncaa.org/selection_ran..._reports/32428

Conference Non-Conference Ranking Report: https://stats.ncaa.org/selection_ran..._reports/32428

[MWolf]

Can anyone estimate what approximate affect winning 0, 1, 2, and 3 games this weekend would have on our standing?

[RaginDave]

Can anyone estimate what approximate affect winning 0, 1, 2, and 3 games this weekend would have on our standing?

according to warrennolan.com, the expectation is that we are going to lose all three games and he has our predicted RPI at 46. He has us losing 3 fairly close games, in fact yesterday it showed us winning 1 of them.

So if he is accurate, if we could pull 2 of the 3 games, I think our RPI would be somewhere in the upper 30's/low 40's possibly even higher obviously allot depends on what happens with the teams in front of us.

I wouldn't have said this 2 weeks ago, but sweeping Texas State and possibly sweeping USM would probably lock us into the tournament, specifically if we can make a mini run in the tournament, meaning winning a couple of games and getting to the semifinals or beyond.

[MWolf]

according to warrennolan.com, the expectation is that we are going to lose all three games and he has our predicted RPI at 46. He has us losing 3 fairly close games, in fact yesterday it showed us winning 1 of them.

So if he is accurate, if we could pull 2 of the 3 games, I think our RPI would be somewhere in the upper 30's/low 40's obviously allot depends on what happens with the teams in front of us.

Well, it's buttercup season again

[RaginDave]

Well, it's buttercup season again

One of the things we have going for us is our record vs Q1 teams, currently we are 6-7 vs Q1 teams. That is why the USM games are so important. If we go 2-1 we would be 8-8, that is strong. But much of that depends on Texas State staying in the top 50.

[MWolf]

One of the things we have going for us is our record vs Q1 teams, currently we are 6-7 vs Q1 teams. That is why the USM games are so important. If we go 2-1 we would be 8-8, that is strong. But much of that depends on Texas State staying in the top 50.

Don't they get ULM? Even if they sweep, strong chance they are out of Q1?

[RaginDave]

Don't they get ULM? Even if they sweep, strong chance they are out of Q1?

yes, and that could really hurt us.

[MWolf]

yes, and that could really hurt us.

I'm still pinning my hopes to the tournament. As we saw with softball, narrative matters. Sweeping USM would improve our narrative, but we fell completely out of the national conversation for most of the season.

[cajundiehard]

yes, and that could really hurt us.

Also hurts that those TX State games are at home for TX State. Wouldn't hurt as much if the series was in Monroe.

TX State plays @TCU tonight. Hopefully they recover and capture a nice road win.

[RaginDave]

Also hurts that those TX State games are at home for TX State. Wouldn't hurt as much if the series was in Monroe.

TX State plays @TCU tonight. Hopefully they recover and capture a nice road win.

Yes, we all need to be pulling for Texas State tonight. Here are the games tonight we need to be watching for some help.

Campbell over ECU
Coastal over UNC
JMU over Va Tech
Marshall over Morehead State
South Al over SLU
Rice over PVA&M
Texas State over TCU
McNeese over LSU (due to the fact that we played McNeese twice).

[Grantvb]

Guess ima fan of Soutland and SBC (and Rice) tonight