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Thread: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

  1. #61

    Default Re: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

    Quote Originally Posted by Cajun90 View Post
    I'm not saying she will be there arguing the point for us and you know that. I've followed softball/baseball selections since the mid 80's and understand exactly how it works. If you don't think the fact that she is on the committee doesn't give pause to other members then you aren't understanding the human condition very well. People aren't machines and they spend a lot of time discussing these selections long before next Sunday. It has nothing to do with undue influence or unethical behavior. Relationships matter and that is human nature.
    Very well said. Having her there can't hurt their chance of hosting.

  2. #62

    Default Re: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

    I can see a scenario where the SBC ends up a one bid league if the Cajuns win it.


  3. Default Re: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

    The Cajun Ladies are going to win it.


  4. #64

    Default Re: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

    Quote Originally Posted by ZoomZoom View Post
    I can see a scenario where the SBC ends up a one bid league if the Cajuns win it.
    That is probably what will happen.

  5. #65

    Default Re: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

    Quote Originally Posted by Esqueleto View Post
    Very well said. Having her there can't hurt their chance of hosting.
    From the way it looks if the Cajuns keep winning they should host regardless.

  6. #66

    Default Re: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

    Quote Originally Posted by JMV JustMyView View Post
    From the way it looks if the Cajuns keep winning they should host regardless.
    I'm thinking South Al gets in and is sent to Alabama.

  7. #67

    Default Re: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

    Quote Originally Posted by roarman View Post
    I'm thinking South Al gets in and is sent to Alabama.
    Very possible if they at least make it to the Sunbelt Conference Tournament Finals.

  8. #68

    Default Re: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

    Borrowed this from Ultimate College Softball.

    2022 SEEDS & FINAL RPI

    1. Oklahoma (1)
    2. Florida State (3)
    3. Virginia Tech (2)
    4. Arkansas (4)
    5. UCLA (6)
    6. Alabama (5)
    7. Oklahoma State (7)
    8. Arizona State (10)
    9. Northwestern (11)
    10. Clemson (8)
    11. Tennessee (12)
    12. Duke (9)
    13. Washington (16)
    14. Florida (13)
    15. Missouri (18)
    16. UCF (15)
    (TOP16 RPI TO NOT HOST: 14 Texas)

    If we stay 12 or below, would the poor record vs. top 25 outweigh the great record against top 50?

    CDS just has me anticipating the Cajuns being the first team for the committee to send packing with that high an RPI.


  9. #69

    Default Re: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

    Quote Originally Posted by RaginScotsman View Post
    Borrowed this from Ultimate College Softball.

    2022 SEEDS & FINAL RPI

    1. Oklahoma (1)
    2. Florida State (3)
    3. Virginia Tech (2)
    4. Arkansas (4)
    5. UCLA (6)
    6. Alabama (5)
    7. Oklahoma State (7)
    8. Arizona State (10)
    9. Northwestern (11)
    10. Clemson (8)
    11. Tennessee (12)
    12. Duke (9)
    13. Washington (16)
    14. Florida (13)
    15. Missouri (18)
    16. UCF (15)
    (TOP16 RPI TO NOT HOST: 14 Texas)

    If we stay 12 or below, would the poor record vs. top 25 outweigh the great record against top 50?

    CDS just has me anticipating the Cajuns being the first team for the committee to send packing with that high an RPI.
    Five teams ranked ahead of us in RPI have a losing record vs. 1-25 and three teams below us (11-16) have a losing record. Ours is worse than others but its a single metric. In the 26-50 range we are 12-2 which aligns with everyone else in the top 16 spots.

    I'm just not seeing anything so devastating that it keeps us out of a host spot. (Note: Analysis is based off D1softball which doesn't necessarily align with NCAA stats exactly)

  10. #70

    Default Re: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

    Quote Originally Posted by Cajun90 View Post
    Five teams ranked ahead of us in RPI have a losing record vs. 1-25 and three teams below us (11-16) have a losing record. Ours is worse than others but its a single metric. In the 26-50 range we are 12-2 which aligns with everyone else in the top 16 spots.

    I'm just not seeing anything so devastating that it keeps us out of a host spot. (Note: Analysis is based off D1softball which doesn't necessarily align with NCAA stats exactly)
    Don't know how much it matters, but Baylor just swept Texas.

  11. #71

    Default Re: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

    Texas kicks the 3rd out in the 7th and gets walked off by Baylor. Not sure if the bears are in the conversation, but they swept the 7 RPI longhorns.


  12. #72

    Default Re: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

    Kentucky wins the series vs. Florida with a win just now.

    Ole miss walks off Bama. I’m sure that helps too.


  13. #73

    Default Re: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

    Quote Originally Posted by RaginScotsman View Post
    Kentucky wins the series vs. Florida with a win just now.

    Ole miss walks off Bama. I’m sure that helps too.
    Not sure any of them are a big deal but all of them definitely help our cause.

  14. #74

    Default Re: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

    Quote Originally Posted by ragin50 View Post
    Don't know how much it matters, but Baylor just swept Texas.
    Both being top 20 RPI not sure . We played both and lost to both. Don't believe it is a big change for us come seeding time.

  15. #75

    Default Re: Eric Lopez Regional SB Predictions.

    I thought venue was also a factor in hosting?


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