A couple of things to remember, many pundits believed that Cooper Manning may have been the most talented athlete of the three Archie sons. Arch has all of the measurables to be special, 6'4" 215 lbs with the potential to add another 10-15 lbs according to many recruiting analysts. Many people who have spent time recruiting college athletes have said that Arch is way ahead of where both Peyton and Eli were at this point in their careers.
I know it was Isadore Newman, but his numbers jump off the page. Between 2019 and 2021 he completed 488 of 743 passes, just about 66% of his passes for 6307 yards, which is over 2000 yards a season. He threw for 81 TD's while only throwing 17 INT's. The other thing that was impressive with Arch is the fact that he was able to run as well, something neither of his uncles were proficient at. Arch had 91 carries for 742 yards and 19 TD's in his HS career over those three seasons.
I don't know if Arch will end up being as good as either Peyton or Eli, but I will tell you this, the pedigree is pretty special. Schools with the names of Texas, Alabama, Georgia, Clemson, Florida, LSU, Miami, Notre Dame, Oklahoma and USC don't come recruiting you just because your name ends with MANNING. You have to have the talent to back it up. Arch does, whether or not he will be the first QB taken in the draft a few years from now is yet to be seen. But I will tell you this, everyone of the teams that recruited Arch did it because of what he has done on the field and what success each of his family members has done, including Cooper in HS/College, Archie at every level and Peyton and Eli at every level.
I would rather take a chance on a kid with that kind of background then a kid like Tate Martell or Ryan Perriloux or Mitch Mustain or Ben Olson, or I could continue to go down the list of guys who were homerun recruits in HS that busted in college.
By the way, keep an eye on Heid Manning, class of 2024 a OL at Newman right now. I believe he will either have to move to TE or bulk up if he wants to play at the next level but he does have a pretty good frame to work with only being a Sophomore at 6'0 and 225. His brother is 6'4" and his dad is also 6'4". I would assume Heid will continue to grow and at 6'4" 235-250 could be a pretty solid TE prospect.
Good break down of Arch Manning Dave. Let me add one more caveat to the conversation, and this applies to any young QB prospect that comes with such high expectations. Whether we are talking about Arch Manning, Walker Howard, or others that came before them like Bryce Young and CJ Stroud, the talent that is recruited around them has a direct correlation on their success in any system. Texas needs to have a really good recruiting class this year, and the next few years to build quality roster around him. Young and Stroud both have had and continue to have top talent around them.
Here are some 5-Star QB's over the past 15 years and who they originally signed with and you can see that their were some clear busts in this group, I've listed them from Busts to success in college (not pro level):
Kyle Allen Texas A&M
Max Browne USC
Christian Hackenberg Penn State
Gunner Keil, Notre Dame
Mitch Mustain Arknasas
Ryan Perrilloux, LSU
Dayne Crist Notre Dame
Garrett Gilbert Texas
Russell Shepard LSU
John Brantley Florida
Jeff Driskell Florida
Jimmy Clausen Notre Dame
Terrell Pryor Ohio State
Tyrod Taylor Va Tech
Jameis Winston FSU
Tim Tebow Florida
Matt Stafford Georgia
Mark Sanchez USC
Aaron Murray Georgia
Braxton Miller Ohio State
EJ Manuel FSU
Ryan Mallett Arkansas
Matt Barkley USC
This list is a little dated, but if you look at it you can see there were as many 5 star busts as 5 star success in college. I would say that everything to Driskel were busts, with Clausen, Pryor and Taylor being ?, from Jameis to Barkley were successes in college.
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