UL Football Preview

[Cantstandza]

Man, I am concerned many of you are overlooking our opponents. I am very hopeful for a very good season and I am all in on Coach MD, but I will take it one game at a time!

Marshall, USM, and FSU are the only potential losses I see on the schedule, tbh, and that's because they're on the road.

[Cajunrunner]

Man, I am concerned many of you are overlooking our opponents. I am very hopeful for a very good season and I am all in on Coach MD, but I will take it one game at a time!

Yep. The schedule may seem “easy”, but just remember:

2020: 3 of our 10 wins were by a field goal or less. Our only loss was by a field goal. That’s four games that honestly could have swung either way.

2021: 3 of our 13 wins by a FG or less (including having to recover an onside kick by Nicholls), and 4 pt win vs GA State and 5 pt win vs ULM.

In fact, just looking at scores alone, our wins in 2019 were more convincing than 2020 and 2021.

Now…good teams with good coaching no doubt figure out how to win those close games more times than not, and we were 6-1 the past two seasons in games decided by 3 points are less.

Hopefully that trend will continue under Coach Dez, but just goes to show how tight of a margin it is for us to try to win 10+ games in a season.

[cajun_lannister]

With the schedule, 10 wins is within reach; along with another SBC championship appearance.

Didn't we only beat South AL because of a shanked FG. As well as beating Ark state by 1 point....

[John Cocktolstoy]

You don't send your back up QB to do media events.... Chandler has been on local news shows a couple times now

I do recall both chandler and Ben talking to the media after the spring game. I don’t recall either of them in the media since. Can you refresh my memory on those chandler attended media events where Ben wasn’t there also?

[cajun_lannister]

I do recall both chandler and Ben talking to the media after the spring game. I don’t recall either of them in the media since. Can you refresh my memory on those chandler attended media events where Ben wasn’t there also?

Fields was on klfy a couple times talking about football

https://twitter.com/JohnathanBulot/s...2k1hjE0IQ&s=19

[cajun4life]

Yep. The schedule may seem “easy”, but just remember:

2020: 3 of our 10 wins were by a field goal or less. Our only loss was by a field goal. That’s four games that honestly could have swung either way.

2021: 3 of our 13 wins by a FG or less (including having to recover an onside kick by Nicholls), and 4 pt win vs GA State and 5 pt win vs ULM.

In fact, just looking at scores alone, our wins in 2019 were more convincing than 2020 and 2021.

Now…good teams with good coaching no doubt figure out how to win those close games more times than not, and we were 6-1 the past two seasons in games decided by 3 points are less.

Hopefully that trend will continue under Coach Dez, but just goes to show how tight of a margin it is for us to try to win 10+ games in a season.

While those games were close, we have left at least 3 TDs per game on the table with missed reads. I mean easy touchdowns if the proper WR is thrown the ball.

This team will be way more explosive in the passing game than we have been in the recent past.

The schedule sets up nicely for 10 wins in the regular season. 8 wins is the absolute floor of this program at the moment, barring catastrophic injuries across multiple position groups.

[John Cocktolstoy]

Fields was on klfy a couple times talking about football

https://twitter.com/JohnathanBulot/s...2k1hjE0IQ&s=19

That was during spring practice. I do however agree with you that it is chandler’s job to lose considering the fact that he has been the primary back up. But I also think coming out of spring it is a draw as to who the starter is right now at this moment. I wouldn’t read to much into media appearances.

[JamesTheJeweler]

Yep. The schedule may seem “easy”, but just remember:

2020: 3 of our 10 wins were by a field goal or less. Our only loss was by a field goal. That’s four games that honestly could have swung either way.

2021: 3 of our 13 wins by a FG or less (including having to recover an onside kick by Nicholls), and 4 pt win vs GA State and 5 pt win vs ULM.

In fact, just looking at scores alone, our wins in 2019 were more convincing than 2020 and 2021.

Now…good teams with good coaching no doubt figure out how to win those close games more times than not, and we were 6-1 the past two seasons in games decided by 3 points are less.

Hopefully that trend will continue under Coach Dez, but just goes to show how tight of a margin it is for us to try to win 10+ games in a season.

Good perspective

[HOUCajun]

While those games were close, we have left at least 3 TDs per game on the table with missed reads. I mean easy touchdowns if the proper WR is thrown the ball.

This team will be way more explosive in the passing game than we have been in the recent past.

The schedule sets up nicely for 10 wins in the regular season. 8 wins is the absolute floor of this program at the moment, barring catastrophic injuries across multiple position groups.

You many be correct on the reads. But i also think we will get sacked 3-4 more times a game. We will see how additional negative plays impact down and distance.

[Rainman66]

While those games were close, we have left at least 3 TDs per game on the table with missed reads. I mean easy touchdowns if the proper WR is thrown the ball.

This team will be way more explosive in the passing game than we have been in the recent past.

The schedule sets up nicely for 10 wins in the regular season. 8 wins is the absolute floor of this program at the moment, barring catastrophic injuries across multiple position groups.

In my opinion, you are seriously over estimating the amount of TD's per game left on the table. In your calculus, you are also not taking into account increased number of sacks and interceptions. Sacks avoided really can't be figured out by my brain, but we only threw FOUR interceptions last season, in 405 attempts, that is less than a 1% interception rate per attempt.

There are only three teams in that neighborhood (over 400 attempts), but not quite below 1% ... Alabama, Ohio State and NC State.

[Turbine]

In my opinion, you are seriously over estimating the amount of TD's per game left on the table. In your calculus, you are also not taking into account increased number of sacks and interceptions. Sacks avoided really can't be figured out by my brain, but we only threw FOUR interceptions last season, in 405 attempts, that is less than a 1% interception rate per attempt.

There are only three teams in that neighborhood (over 400 attempts), but not quite below 1% ... Alabama, Ohio State and NC State.

The low number of interceptions cannot be overvalued.

Drive killing interceptions that (should) wipe certain stats off the board are win killers.

[Balanced_view]

Yep. The schedule may seem “easy”, but just remember:

2020: 3 of our 10 wins were by a field goal or less. Our only loss was by a field goal. That’s four games that honestly could have swung either way.

2021: 3 of our 13 wins by a FG or less (including having to recover an onside kick by Nicholls), and 4 pt win vs GA State and 5 pt win vs ULM.

In fact, just looking at scores alone, our wins in 2019 were more convincing than 2020 and 2021.

Now…good teams with good coaching no doubt figure out how to win those close games more times than not, and we were 6-1 the past two seasons in games decided by 3 points are less.

Hopefully that trend will continue under Coach Dez, but just goes to show how tight of a margin it is for us to try to win 10+ games in a season.

can we factor in how many of those close final score games we went V-formation and ran out the clock inside the red zone or close to it?

if the margin of victory was so critical to this years results, we would have scored each time but the margin of victory means nothing to this upcoming season results.