I know you addressed this to roarman, but I'm going to give you an answer, even though you aren't likely to believe me. The answer to both is Probably. The Cajuns would likely have a better record than 8-16 and Arizona would have a similar record in this year's Sun Belt as the Cajuns.
I actually don't understand the point of your questions, though. The Cajuns were going to get an at large bid even if they lost the Sun Belt championship game. Arizona was placed in the bracket even though they finished last in the PAC 12 (tied with California, lost the series to CA).
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