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Thread: Regional Projection 5-11

  1. #31

    Default Re: Regional Projection 5-11

    Quote Originally Posted by Big Buds View Post
    Thanks, Brian.

    I appreciate the solid feedback…as usual.
    Agreed.. its just sweet that we having this much interest and discussion into the issue

  2. #32

    Default Re: Regional Projection 5-11

    Quote Originally Posted by Big Buds View Post
    Thanks, Brian.

    I appreciate the solid feedback…as usual.
    Mr. Brian is the real deal!

  3. #33

    Default Re: Regional Projection 5-11

    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    No, it is 50% your opponent's WP and 25% your opponent's opponents' WP.

    One of the significant problems is that it is too heavily weighted on your opponent's WP, without regard to how strong their respective schedule is. The opposite of what you state above. But it is more than that.

    A 34/33/33 breakdown also does not improve it much. It is more of a problem with how many levels the formula descends than the weights of the fixed three level formula. You will never arrive at a reasonable approximation of strength with three levels. The RPI is a pedestrian formula that never should have lasted as long as it has. As a mathematician and researcher in machine learning and artificial intelligence (statistical learning), I actually feel it is an embarrassment to the field of statistics.

    Brian (1981 called and it wants its RPI formula back)
    Thanks for the clarification. What is your recommendation as to what statistical formula should be used to truly compare teams.

  4. #34

    Ragin' Cajuns Re: Regional Projection 5-11

    Quote Originally Posted by lifetimecajun View Post
    D1 has us as the 63rd team in the field of 64 in College Station
    Have to wonder now that we're under threat of being swept in San Marcos...

    #cULture
    #WeAreLouisiana
    #GeauxCajuns
    #BeatTexasState

  5. #35

    Default Re: Regional Projection 5-11

    Quote Originally Posted by NOCajun View Post
    Have to wonder now that we're under threat of being swept in San Marcos...

    #cULture
    #WeAreLouisiana
    #GeauxCajuns
    #BeatTexasState
    Nobody left on your schedule to make up the ground. . Have to win the tournament

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