Softball Regional Projections 4/20/22

[VObserver]

Didn't Illinois and Indiana both make the Top 25 just before UL beat them? If so, that is 3 Top 25 wins on the road for UL. Should help our RPI and push to get back in the Top 25.

Neither of those programs had a top 25 RPI. Illinois, though in the top 25 polls, had an RPI around 35. Indiana was in the mid 60's. For a bit of irony, Illinois got a small RPI boost for losing to us.

[lcitsh]

Do schools still have to submit “Bids” to host?

Yes.

[VObserver]

Ouch. I didn't realize they were so bad in conference. Again, not dumping on the SEC (yes I am) but I wish that worked both ways. You'll potentially get all the SEC teams in. Again. Some with winning percentages in conference below .250.

I know CUSA is not the SEC, but it sucks that a worthy team would get bumped for a team that benefits from stinking at a good schedule.

Liberty is another team that may be on alert if they lose the A Sun tournament. You could just see them getting bumped by like a Cal or something.

Liberty is RPI 42 with a 2-7 record vs top 25 and 1-4 vs 26-50. So slightly worse RPI than us and slightly better record against top 50 [only because of more games, our % is better]. Wichita State is the one getting shafted the worst right now.

[lcitsh]

Charlotte will not get in. They have a good RPI, but are 7-11 in CUSA. They have a strong non-conference record [1-3 vs top 25, 6-5 vs 26-50], but finishing 8th or so in CUSA kills them.

Charlotte may be an interesting discussion in the committee room. They close out conference play at FIU and vs. FAU and can finish at 13-11 with sweeps. The ACC apparently likes them because they have played Virginia Tech (beat them), Duke, Clemson, Notre Dame, North Carolina, Virginia, North Carolina State and Boston College, and have a 3 game series at #26 rpi Georgia Tech this weekend. The conference tournament is at North Texas, whom they lost the series at home. We'll see.

[VObserver]

Charlotte may be an interesting discussion in the committee room. They close out conference play at FIU and vs. FAU and can finish at 13-11 with sweeps. The ACC apparently likes them because they have played Virginia Tech (beat them), Duke, Clemson, Notre Dame, North Carolina, Virginia, North Carolina State and Boston College, and have a 3 game series at #26 rpi Georgia Tech this weekend. The conference tournament is at North Texas, whom they lost the series at home. We'll see.

For them to have a chance at an at large, I believe they will have to sweep the F_Us and win at least one from Ga Tech, then make a deep run in the CUSA tournament.

[lcitsh]

For them to have a chance at an at large, I believe they will have to sweep the F_Us and win at least one from Ga Tech, then make a deep run in the CUSA tournament.

This is why they may be an interesting discussion. They are 5-4 against the ACC teams with wins over #3 Virginia Tech, #46 North Carolina, #55 Virginia and #77 Boston College (2). They definitely have work to do, we'll just have to see if they can get the job done.

[JMV JustMyView]

All Caps = Auto Bids (Whomever is in 1st place in conference standings)

Norman Regional
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#1 Oklahoma vs. IONA/MAAC
Stanford vs. Texas A&M
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Knoxville Regional
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#16 Tennessee vs. MIAMI (OH)/MAC
Oregon vs. USC UPSTATE/Big South
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Durham Regional
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#8 Duke vs. GEORGE WASHINGTON/A10
Oregon State vs. LIBERTY/ASUN
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Stillwater Regional
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#9 OKLAHOMA STATE/Big 12 vs. UCONN/Big East
NEBRASKA/Big Ten vs. WEBER STATE/Big Sky
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Los Angeles Regional
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#4 UCLA vs. CAL STATE FULLERTON/Big West
Missouri vs. SAN DIEGO STATE/MWC
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Austin Regional
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#13 Texas vs. TEXAS SOUTHERN/SWAC
LOUISIANA/Sun Belt vs. MCNEESE/Southland
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Tallahasee Regional
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#5 Florida State vs. UMASS LOWELL/AEC
Mississippi State vs. South Florida
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Lexington Regional
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#12 Kentucky vs. MURRAY STATE/OVC
Michigan vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY/CUSA
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Blacksburg Regional
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#3 VIRGINIA TECH/ACC vs. NORFOLK STATE/MEAC
Ohio State vs. Ole Miss
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Clemson Regional
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#14 Clemson vs. UNC GREENSBORO/SoCon
Auburn vs. Minnesota
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Fayetteville Regional
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#6 ARKANSAS/SEC vs. SAINT FRANCIS (PA)/NEC
Arizona vs. Wichita State
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Tempe Regional
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#11 ARIZONA STATE/PAC-12 vs. GRAND CANYON/WAC
LSU vs. LOYOLA MARYMOUNT/WCC
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Evanston Regional
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#7 Northwestern vs. OAKLAND/Horizon
Notre Dame vs. SOUTH DAKOTA STATE/Summit
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Gainesville Regional
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#10 Florida vs. NORTHERN IOWA/MVC
UCF/AAC vs. Wisconsin
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Seattle Regional
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#15 Washington vs. DELAWARE/CAA
Georgia vs. BOSTON UNIVERSITY/Patriot
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Tuscaloosa Regional
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#2 Alabama vs. HARVARD/Ivy
Georgia Tech vs. Illinois

Last 4 In: Texas A&M, Wichita State, South Florida, Minnesota
First 4 Out: Charlotte, Louisville, Utah, South Carolina
Next 4 Out: California, BYU, Boise State, North Texas

[JMV JustMyView]

Maybe unwritten, but certainly not written.

CRITERIA
● Rating Percentage Index (25% the institution’s winning percentage; 50% opponents’ success; 25% opponents’ strength of schedule); also bonus points for wins against the top 50 teams and penalty points for losses against the teams 225 and below.
● Head-to-head competition.
- Results of the RPI
- record against ranked teams 1-25; 26-50; 51-100; 101-150;
- average RPI win; and
- average RPI loss.-
-Results versus common opponents.
- Significant wins and losses.
- End-of-season results.

In making bracket assignments, the closest geographical consideration will be used as well as the ability to separate conference opponents during regional competition.