Yep, I knew you were.
Which is why I did not launch into a dissertation.
14/20 (regular season) would put them in position to contend for one. But other things matter ... like conference finish ... and winning the series vs. Georgia State and/or Texas State ... Top 50 RPI wins, etc.. Of course they would need a solid conference tournament. And ... it depends on how other teams in the vicinity of the Cajuns also finish, as well as a strong performance from Cajun opponents.
Brian